Market · 8 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 951 | 94.7¢ | $871 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 894 | 7.9¢ | $75 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 1walrus0x6560…e164 | No | 80 | 78.1¢ | $73 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 1,561 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 78 | 71.8¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | Yes | 140 | 4.2¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 241 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 40 | 13.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 15 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play