Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 255 | 41.0¢ | $130 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 100 | 59.0¢ | $49 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 |
| No |
| 78 |
| 52.7¢ |
| $38 |
| Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 50 | 59.0¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 51.2¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |