Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x51ae…ce30 | No | 40 | 79.5¢ | $23 | — |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 42 | 16.7¢ | $17 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 19 | 20.8¢ | $8 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 2 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| G24L80x8a51…51a2 | Yes | 1 | 20.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.