Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 82 | 16.7¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 42 | 84.0¢ | $27 | — |
| G24L80x8a51…51a2 | No | 20 | 77.9¢ | $13 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 19 | 77.9¢ | $12 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 76.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 4 | 21.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.