Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 83 | 71.9¢ | $49 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 80 | 26.0¢ | $33 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 30 | 73.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 34 | 30.6¢ | $14 | — |
| aimei0xd3ec…7631 | No | 21 | 88.0¢ | $12 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 27.0¢ | $8 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.