Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 255 | 41.0¢ | $131 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 100 | 59.0¢ | $48 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 78 | 52.7¢ | $38 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 50 | 59.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 51.2¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 20 | 60.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 7 | 48.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 1 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 1 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.