Market · 24 of 54 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 623,886 | 0.6¢ | $3.43K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 319,413 | 0.5¢ | $1.76K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 227,988 | 0.7¢ | $1.25K | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $1.11K | New22 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 166,449 | 0.8¢ | $915 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 104,000 | 0.4¢ | $572 | New85 settled bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $550 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 84,303 | 0.8¢ | $464 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 57,520 | 0.4¢ | $316 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $289 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 50,504 | 0.5¢ | $278 | Proven+$9.60 per $100 · 493 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $220 | — |
| glhfgg0xe1e7…12fe | Yes | 38,730 | 0.5¢ | $213 | Positive+$2.55 per $100 · 1,442 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $165 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $165 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 29,456 | 0.6¢ | $162 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $158 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 26,521 | 0.8¢ | $146 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kanshifu0xc42f…78a0 | Yes | 26,036 | 0.5¢ | $143 | — |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $138 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $138 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| dragonborn10x809c…8cfd | Yes | 25,000 | 0.4¢ | $138 | New15 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $114 | New41 settled bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 20,600 | 0.8¢ | $113 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $110 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 19,990 | 0.7¢ | $110 | — |
| JamesAltucher0xbd7d…4d56 | Yes | 18,000 | 0.7¢ | $99 | — |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | Yes | 16,598 | 0.8¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| leblanccindy0x4d56…dbeb | No | 87 | 99.7¢ | $87 | New60 settled bets |
| latoya150x73b1…a223 | No | 87 | 99.7¢ | $87 | New64 settled bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.7¢ | $83 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,550 | 0.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| hicksjill0x0686…b85e | No | 80 | 99.7¢ | $80 | New79 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| carlalee0x7d5f…d3bc | No | 75 | 99.7¢ | $75 | New85 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $73 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| darlene400xe343…7cfa | No | 70 | 99.7¢ | $70 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 10,930 | 0.4¢ | $60 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 10,725 | 0.8¢ | $59 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| ftyyuji0xa296…40f9 | No | 56 | 99.5¢ | $56 | — |
| cameronbooker0x5b03…eab0 | No | 56 | 99.7¢ | $56 | New80 settled bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 10,100 | 0.3¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.0¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| hytkufy0x0b0e…78e3 | No | 48 | 99.6¢ | $48 | New11 settled bets |
| snowkyle0x68c3…e63a | No | 45 | 99.7¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.27 per $100 · 108 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| fdhdh0x8cce…3e5a | No | 41 | 99.6¢ | $41 | — |
| ghfjhgk0x8722…3ab1 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 7,050 | 0.7¢ | $39 | New0 settled bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 6,800 | 0.5¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| cgjufyuy0xc9c1…442b | No | 37 | 99.7¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| gfdjtfk0x9a51…bd88 | No | 33 | 99.6¢ | $33 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $33 | New65 settled bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $28 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,613 | 0.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 1sk0x06e8…4675 | Yes | 4,226 | 0.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 979 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Hardicome0x5406…0f14 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | New29 settled bets |
| riotMari0x65ba…d38b | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | New5 settled bets |
| gugudoll0xf860…2703 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| farisej0x4927…aeae | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | New4 settled bets |
| maxxjurictic0xed62…ccc5 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.