Market · 2 of 71 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 1,621 | 77.4¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 1,383 | 18.6¢ | $242 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0xd046…c496 | Yes | 82 | 74.0¢ | $68 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 51 | 84.0¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| prjjfb340xfd99…b908 | Yes | 40 | 84.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 180 | 23.0¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | 30 | 83.6¢ | $25 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| KeithStarmer0x7ae8…5a42 | No | 100 | 13.5¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 20 | 66.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 3,149 bets |
| FOW0x1bdd…31ac | No | 60 | 32.9¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.74 per $100 · 114 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 12 | 85.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| RetroATM0xacb0…63fa | No | 50 | 20.8¢ | $9 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 10 | 75.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 40 | 26.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| uyn0j3vtvru70x6677…801b | Yes | 7 | 83.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $4 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 18 | 29.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 4 | 77.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 15 | 25.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 10 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | No | 0 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 0 | 24.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | No | 0 | 23.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play