Market · 29 of 43 outcomes
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,550,014 | 0.8¢ | $2.33K | New15 settled bets |
| juicejuice0xafa1…6fc8 | No | 1,300 | 96.3¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 444 | 96.2¢ | $443 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| windice0x0bcc…d3f3 | No | 277 | 99.3¢ | $277 | — |
| alloratge0x6ae4…e2f7 | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $200 | — |
| wenxx0x030d…fc20 | No | 155 | 99.3¢ | $155 | — |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.7¢ | $150 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| tradexplorer0x6138…97a0 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.9¢ | $150 | — |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 99,468 | 0.2¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| francepa0x25eb…dc9d | No | 122 | 99.3¢ | $122 | — |
| thompsonchristine0xdc34…0db7 | No | 105 | 99.9¢ | $105 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 69,850 | 0.5¢ | $105 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| LiLerNoCh0x5b7d…b922 | No | 100 | 96.1¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x778d…e374 | No | 100 | 99.7¢ | $100 | — |
| estradasusan0x2c16…9461 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| abigailmahoney0x11f1…7959 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| melanie890xb15f…c9d6 | No | 89 | 99.6¢ | $89 | — |
| coolboy450xb47b…0c3b | No | 81 | 99.3¢ | $81 | — |
| jessicamonroe0xb9f4…2ac0 | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| ionuis20x6d34…9429 | No | 76 | 98.7¢ | $76 | — |
| olsenantonio0x373c…23ab | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| 0x4371…e0c6 | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| hernandezshawn0x1b59…d3f3 | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| cc0bca0x781e…9c90 | No | 62 | 99.1¢ | $62 | — |
| hillmonica0x0357…2457 | No | 58 | 99.8¢ | $58 | — |
| Rarise0x8215…6424 | No | 56 | 99.3¢ | $56 | — |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 31,100 | 0.5¢ | $47 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| LillianColeridge0xd481…af35 | No | 45 | 99.2¢ | $45 | — |
| DropBid0x9b6c…4ae3 | No | 44 | 99.4¢ | $44 | — |
| lissssaa0xd283…9e79 | No | 42 | 99.4¢ | $42 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,000 | 0.4¢ | $39 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 25,780 | 0.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| fxhdfjyd0x775f…cb20 | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| haoxinqing0x5e78…1a9d | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| edmundo0x32c8…0b4b | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| bobo260x2083…f007 | No | 28 | 99.3¢ | $28 | — |
| gonggong0x3fb2…fac4 | No | 27 | 99.3¢ | $27 | — |
| vengeancesoul0xf7ef…1ad6 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| wudafafa0xd288…61d8 | No | 25 | 99.1¢ | $25 | — |
| kittyJJ0x7a72…b63c | No | 25 | 99.4¢ | $25 | — |
| lookcare0x84f6…14cc | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| curry3000xb6d8…6b37 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| farca0xcc38…d973 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| 7d820xcb2a…bb68 | Yes | 14,942 | 0.9¢ | $22 | — |
| b9750x278f…6da6 | Yes | 14,689 | 0.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 2b450x4625…6fd8 | Yes | 14,583 | 0.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 73dc0x4178…3359 | Yes | 14,101 | 0.9¢ | $21 | — |
| 7899bf0x1104…19fe | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 6cf80xf4a9…3a6e | Yes | 13,332 | 0.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 31990xaede…6971 | Yes | 13,311 | 0.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 427e0x34f4…7d72 | Yes | 12,974 | 0.9¢ | $19 | — |
| addb0x6a41…7cf8 | Yes | 12,841 | 0.9¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x5d01…345b | No | 18 | 99.3¢ | $18 | — |
| polytogether0xbdec…81be | No | 18 | 99.1¢ | $18 | — |
| arthuranderson0x0046…13dd | Yes | 11,111 | 0.9¢ | $17 | New38 settled bets |
| grrw0xed57…2339 | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x40f5…ecdb | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x40ae…964d | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xd35d…cdb4 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 111.eth0xae7b…5fb7 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| bigbrainn0x8fc9…bf9d | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xe5b7…fbce | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xee99…45be | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x7332…f02e | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Jkooa0x51ac…17ea | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 8,888 | 0.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 8,277 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 8,062 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| Towento0x9ffc…3dd9 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Oitghe0xe5d0…3d43 | Yes | 6,374 | 3.9¢ | $10 | — |
| ggvtg0x3110…3655 | Yes | 6,199 | 1.0¢ | $9 | — |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 5,548 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 5,010 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| immotive0x4848…1585 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 4,841 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| mensur20330x8cfa…b608 | Yes | 3,333 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,229 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 3,167 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 3,060 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| 4532dd560xa676…758d | Yes | 2,972 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| chaseh11130x625c…a14e | Yes | 2,865 | 2.3¢ | $4 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,756 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 6856450x994f…4574 | Yes | 2,514 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 698850xc4e5…fb30 | Yes | 2,337 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 2,269 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Lanwnatu0x7953…ed24 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 1,791 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Lance80x9d98…d9f3 | Yes | 1,758 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 8877t0x3ebb…6128 | Yes | 1,511 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 47.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0x54a8…3902 | Yes | 1,316 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 88 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.