Market · 2 of 12 outcomes
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xffbb…36e9 | No | 101,121 | 15.0¢ | $54.1K | — |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 106,000 | 85.1¢ | $49.3K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | No | 65,044 | 15.5¢ | $34.8K | — |
| 0x9032…8717 | No | 49,364 | 15.0¢ | $26.4K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 1,720 bets |
| no1yet0x4d49…7450 | Yes | 50,000 | 85.0¢ | $23.3K | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 152 bets |
| redvinny0x56c9…0d9e | Yes | 32,153 | 70.0¢ | $15K | Losing−$2.99 per $100 · 2,725 bets |
| BMM-10xdf1c…2ebb | Yes | 31,313 | 56.8¢ | $14.6K | — |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | Yes | 26,777 | 22.3¢ | $12.5K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 11,296 | 80.4¢ | $5.25K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 711 bets |
| Coram_Deo0xe403…e5a4 | Yes | 10,633 | 86.7¢ | $4.94K | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 9,137 | 44.2¢ | $4.25K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 9,000 | 43.1¢ | $4.18K | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 7,887 | 40.4¢ | $3.67K | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| Aventadooor0x3f7d…2e31 | Yes | 4,370 | 38.5¢ | $2.03K | New97 settled bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 3,778 | 56.6¢ | $2.02K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU0x84a7…9743 | Yes | 4,319 | 41.7¢ | $2.01K | Losing−$14.08 per $100 · 246 bets |
| brother-magpie0xe399…7dc1 | Yes | 4,266 | 87.9¢ | $1.98K | New11 settled bets |
| 0x7a6c…5048 | Yes | 4,024 | 85.6¢ | $1.87K | New41 settled bets |
| borchi0xbfb3…4b43 | Yes | 3,709 | 86.3¢ | $1.72K | — |
| poosiesniffer0x4db4…a21f | Yes | 3,168 | 89.4¢ | $1.47K | New6 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 3,096 | 51.4¢ | $1.44K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| spidermarnn0x7554…073d | Yes | 3,000 | 85.0¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 210 bets |
| Frings1270x1cd0…4516 | Yes | 2,866 | 72.1¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 253 bets |
| gagagagagaga0xe80e…9211 | Yes | 2,517 | 79.4¢ | $1.17K | — |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | No | 2,000 | 20.3¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 454 bets |
| WindsonC0x76aa…c4f4 | Yes | 2,249 | 89.3¢ | $1.05K | New88 settled bets |
| imjustalarp0x57e4…835e | Yes | 2,200 | 87.1¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 477 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 1,990 | 47.3¢ | $925 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 1,728 | 42.4¢ | $804 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| 0x7550…52b2 | Yes | 1,616 | 71.7¢ | $751 | New20 settled bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 1,597 | 37.3¢ | $743 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 1,586 | 84.5¢ | $737 | — |
| usurper550x6fd4…4fa0 | Yes | 1,584 | 41.9¢ | $737 | New87 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,518 | 45.6¢ | $706 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| D33pCynic0x55db…2031 | No | 1,316 | 15.2¢ | $704 | New52 settled bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,500 | 44.0¢ | $698 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| whetever0x2123…22da | No | 1,300 | 17.0¢ | $695 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x0afa…e66d | Yes | 1,292 | 82.2¢ | $601 | New26 settled bets |
| wohocool0x0fe4…775d | Yes | 1,288 | 85.9¢ | $599 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 156 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | No | 1,111 | 13.0¢ | $594 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| johndoez0x6f87…f277 | No | 1,017 | 49.9¢ | $544 | Proven+$12.94 per $100 · 155 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | Yes | 1,100 | 69.2¢ | $511 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 0xa8f9…2573 | No | 900 | 59.8¢ | $482 | — |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | Yes | 1,025 | 86.6¢ | $476 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,434 bets |
| Hiworld.0x4f23…90db | Yes | 1,000 | 1.4¢ | $465 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 428 bets |
| 0xd271…37e0 | Yes | 1,000 | 86.5¢ | $465 | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | Yes | 1,000 | 86.5¢ | $465 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| oceanmist790xc401…8b2c | Yes | 976 | 86.5¢ | $454 | — |
| KrdRL0x63c1…70d7 | Yes | 920 | 87.4¢ | $428 | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 108 bets |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 790 | 13.6¢ | $423 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| TenChuSama0xe577…6c42 | Yes | 899 | 53.7¢ | $418 | — |
| AshcainCoin0x5584…6e2a | No | 773 | 10.3¢ | $414 | New31 settled bets |
| LariXen0x3cee…bd00 | Yes | 800 | 38.0¢ | $372 | Proven+$14.88 per $100 · 248 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 800 | 84.8¢ | $372 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | Yes | 800 | 88.0¢ | $372 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| Red781RuM0x04bf…7caf | Yes | 750 | 79.0¢ | $349 | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 1,031 bets |
| Kvasir0x8ea3…52a1 | Yes | 730 | 83.8¢ | $339 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 703 | 1.4¢ | $327 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| jep0x96fc…d117 | No | 533 | 15.0¢ | $285 | — |
| voltzbeliever0x7859…2bfa | Yes | 600 | 85.0¢ | $279 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 134 bets |
| Sunbreon0xf26c…ebe5 | Yes | 600 | 55.0¢ | $279 | — |
| 0xf0ee…7d14 | Yes | 587 | 84.0¢ | $273 | — |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | Yes | 585 | 40.5¢ | $272 | — |
| BondSolo0x9995…d0d3 | No | 500 | 49.0¢ | $268 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 500 | 16.6¢ | $267 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 400 | 53.9¢ | $214 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | No | 400 | 46.0¢ | $214 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 753 bets |
| BenjaminNetanyahooo0x2deb…9e9a | No | 370 | 54.0¢ | $198 | New73 settled bets |
| COOLBOY0x9e40…fe2d | No | 300 | 61.0¢ | $161 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 200 | 57.0¢ | $107 | — |
| 56gh340x4644…280e | No | 200 | 46.0¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 100 bets |
| littlepo0x6282…3ea8 | No | 200 | 62.0¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 332 bets |
| StayYoung0xabd1…870e | No | 200 | 10.5¢ | $107 | — |
| kid420xe211…7cd4 | No | 200 | 15.5¢ | $107 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | No | 200 | 54.0¢ | $107 | — |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | No | 200 | 14.0¢ | $107 | New44 settled bets |
| dht0x76bc…cd4b | No | 196 | 17.0¢ | $105 | New19 settled bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 186 | 9.0¢ | $100 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 184 | 57.0¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 141 | 58.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x8da4…68b8 | No | 139 | 13.9¢ | $74 | — |
| 0x6d4a…f05f | No | 117 | 8.0¢ | $63 | New12 settled bets |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 104 | 9.1¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 102 | 58.6¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 100 | 58.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| 0x3606…4e08 | No | 100 | 15.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$3.97 per $100 · 277 bets |
| 0xf779…d36f | No | 100 | 13.2¢ | $53 | — |
| bugs10x8fb5…d37c | No | 100 | 12.0¢ | $53 | — |
| champry0x3641…0ff8 | No | 87 | 15.5¢ | $46 | Proven+$23.49 per $100 · 134 bets |
| pound6660x7a4b…8125 | No | 70 | 14.4¢ | $37 | New45 settled bets |
| 0x5655…fabf | No | 68 | 60.0¢ | $37 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc6f6…77ff | No | 68 | 16.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x3552…df67 | No | 65 | 50.0¢ | $35 | New11 settled bets |
| banhz0x9388…c4d0 | No | 63 | 16.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 55 | 32.0¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| 0x6041…fc8d | No | 53 | 57.2¢ | $28 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x1fdf…c93a | No | 51 | 59.6¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 101 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 12.6¢ | $25 | — |
| ktv.020xeab5…f570 | Yes | 53 | 41.4¢ | $25 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 42 | 14.5¢ | $23 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.