Market · 26 of 53 outcomes
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Yes | 633,988 | 1.5¢ | $1.58K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 479,270 | 0.7¢ | $1.2K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 224,999 | 0.1¢ | $562 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 111,431 | 1.4¢ | $279 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 105,824 | 0.9¢ | $265 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| TortugaGorda0xea2f…a8ef | Yes | 100,649 | 0.7¢ | $252 | Proven+$29.65 per $100 · 1,150 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 94,144 | 1.9¢ | $235 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 93,080 | 0.8¢ | $233 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 72,302 | 1.5¢ | $181 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $175 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 66,767 | 1.3¢ | $167 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 66,763 | 0.7¢ | $167 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 64,578 | 0.7¢ | $161 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 55,000 | 0.1¢ | $138 | New68 settled bets |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 53,822 | 0.4¢ | $135 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 53,489 | 0.1¢ | $134 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 51,082 | 0.6¢ | $128 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 49,999 | 0.4¢ | $125 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,928 bets |
| Abandoned-Property0x9fea…7375 | Yes | 45,462 | 1.6¢ | $114 | — |
| JurrevP0xc2af…bb78 | Yes | 45,043 | 2.0¢ | $113 | — |
| reid990x07ee…8dfe | Yes | 40,000 | 0.2¢ | $100 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 335 bets |
| NeptuneNest0x404c…95b8 | No | 96 | 98.5¢ | $96 | — |
| aaronquamrydcg0x0c0d…f5aa | No | 92 | 98.5¢ | $92 | — |
| gordonzi0xaac9…9a46 | No | 87 | 98.5¢ | $87 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 34,570 | 0.8¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Breezy-Entrance0x5fc8…39ef | Yes | 33,942 | 1.4¢ | $85 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,893 bets |
| bernardgerlachl0xb70c…5854 | No | 80 | 98.5¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x4e49…0c85 | No | 79 | 98.5¢ | $79 | — |
| MILES0x9b2b…f37c | No | 74 | 98.5¢ | $74 | — |
| dale600xafd2…2621 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| 0xtraub0x7958…f2ee | Yes | 27,895 | 1.8¢ | $70 | — |
| meganmorris0xd8e1…6ee4 | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| juniusra0xb7d8…1927 | No | 63 | 98.5¢ | $63 | — |
| malserik0xcfb2…34c7 | No | 60 | 99.6¢ | $60 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 23,518 | 0.2¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| robbhackettv0x374d…3ac3 | No | 57 | 98.5¢ | $57 | — |
| f98af50xfcd9…1522 | No | 57 | 98.2¢ | $57 | — |
| cullenven0xbfa3…743a | No | 54 | 98.5¢ | $54 | — |
| 0xfbb1…f3ac | No | 51 | 98.5¢ | $51 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $48 | New41 settled bets |
| yomama0x2d70…edfa | Yes | 18,000 | 2.0¢ | $45 | — |
| gmmnfg0xb1b7…b429 | No | 41 | 98.5¢ | $41 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16,104 | 0.9¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 15,862 | 1.3¢ | $40 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 15,437 | 1.3¢ | $39 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 14,999 | 0.1¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,405 | 0.6¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| hayliesitzgmgu0x1403…ee9f | No | 36 | 98.5¢ | $36 | — |
| Granville0xeb0c…d9c4 | No | 36 | 98.7¢ | $35 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 33300xde4d…0a45 | Yes | 12,007 | 1.0¢ | $30 | — |
| zhukov260x3a5a…3427 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.2¢ | $30 | — |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $30 | — |
| ashtonmitc0xe1b4…9839 | No | 30 | 98.5¢ | $30 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,256 | 0.6¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| darrinno0xf73b…1721 | No | 28 | 98.5¢ | $28 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.3¢ | $25 | — |
| lucianohesselg0x6a45…6d5a | No | 25 | 98.5¢ | $25 | — |
| fridanequegv0xc95d…c5df | No | 25 | 98.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 9,493 | 0.4¢ | $24 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| aluminium0x756d…43e2 | Yes | 8,615 | 2.3¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x8cda…d60f | Yes | 8,533 | 1.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Rayse0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | 7,960 | 0.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Risto0xa173…3315 | Yes | 7,126 | 1.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$2.12 per $100 · 484 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $16 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| fernandoimpe0xe363…dff2 | No | 16 | 98.5¢ | $16 | — |
| Bdrivedfya0xc205…eec2 | Yes | 6,250 | 0.8¢ | $16 | — |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| carkgoh0x0382…4884 | No | 15 | 98.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 8ff10x7fc8…ac4a | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xf059…1bd7 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | Yes | 5,579 | 0.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xa2cf…72f4 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xaf34…e220 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x9d65…be9b | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x90d3…44e5 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xcf3f…f328 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x3886…f9a5 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xa319…f010 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcf23…9429 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x26b9…c5d5 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7627…d94c | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| Harriet0x10f0…c8af | No | 11 | 98.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4fbe…6b3e | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x850f…6336 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x0f97…0002 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| RETWRT0x2fdc…f237 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8de8…1f4f | No | 9 | 99.3¢ | $9 | — |
| python0860xc24d…ac91 | No | 9 | 98.7¢ | $9 | — |
| ksnfaa0x3401…0913 | No | 9 | 98.5¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x57bf…e527 | No | 8 | 98.2¢ | $8 | — |
| thusithamadus160x23d4…7f8d | No | 7 | 99.3¢ | $7 | — |
| blibli0xbc46…c192 | No | 7 | 98.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Gianna84700xed91…ed2b | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| FinanceYF0xb0a3…570e | No | 6 | 98.6¢ | $6 | — |
| fuxin0x8a16…867d | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.