Market · 15 of 53 outcomes
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 610,910 | 0.6¢ | $7.33K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 388,301 | 0.6¢ | $4.66K | — |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 222,282 | 0.7¢ | $2.67K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| Forrester260x1a85…c99a | Yes | 200,151 | 0.8¢ | $2.4K | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 199,736 | 0.6¢ | $2.4K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 114,688 | 0.8¢ | $1.38K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 100,667 | 0.9¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 100,000 | 1.3¢ | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 90,577 | 0.9¢ | $1.09K | New66 settled bets |
| Cygnet0x0b81…13c4 | Yes | 83,333 | 0.6¢ | $1K | New3 settled bets |
| Amslaw0xed89…e266 | Yes | 70,421 | 0.8¢ | $845 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 70,080 | 0.7¢ | $841 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| SagiNahor0x31fc…4e30 | Yes | 63,744 | 0.7¢ | $765 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 59,325 | 1.3¢ | $712 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 55,261 | 0.4¢ | $663 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.8¢ | $600 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 49,317 | 0.7¢ | $592 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| yomama0x2d70…edfa | Yes | 40,000 | 0.9¢ | $480 | — |
| TheUnfolding0xdfb7…9732 | Yes | 39,269 | 0.7¢ | $471 | — |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 39,097 | 0.7¢ | $469 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 36,000 | 0.8¢ | $432 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| cvnbnbl876rygf0x00fc…aaec | No | 382 | 99.5¢ | $377 | New21 settled bets |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 25,000 | 0.9¢ | $300 | New77 settled bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 22,990 | 0.6¢ | $276 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| 0x105d…9fcf | No | 273 | 99.2¢ | $269 | — |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 20,907 | 0.7¢ | $251 | Proven+$3.30 per $100 · 956 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 20,020 | 1.4¢ | $240 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | Yes | 20,000 | 0.8¢ | $240 | New9 settled bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $240 | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| BrixtonHill0x5a35…28cf | No | 234 | 99.3¢ | $231 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $231 | New41 settled bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 18,333 | 0.5¢ | $220 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,659 | 0.8¢ | $152 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | Yes | 12,168 | 0.5¢ | $146 | Proven+$17.74 per $100 · 133 bets |
| madlaboratoor0x17fa…e908 | Yes | 12,012 | 1.2¢ | $144 | — |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.6¢ | $144 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 11,474 | 0.5¢ | $138 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 11,239 | 1.1¢ | $135 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| 0x2b12…3091 | No | 124 | 99.2¢ | $123 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $120 | — |
| SkillzThatKillz0xea3e…b956 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x0509…b687 | No | 118 | 99.2¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,537 | 0.6¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 106 | 98.0¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0x412e…88ea | No | 102 | 99.2¢ | $101 | — |
| 0xbd3d…742f | Yes | 8,333 | 0.6¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x75c6…d171 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x07e4…9ca3 | No | 98 | 99.5¢ | $97 | — |
| christianbarker0x2128…f83e | No | 97 | 99.5¢ | $96 | — |
| tandjlover0xd542…f187 | Yes | 7,897 | 0.8¢ | $95 | — |
| 645642179875640xa67b…b301 | No | 95 | 99.5¢ | $94 | — |
| 0x163e…a8c2 | No | 91 | 99.2¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $90 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| michaelmejia0x557d…40ea | No | 91 | 99.4¢ | $90 | — |
| tamarabuck0x1288…ada0 | No | 89 | 99.5¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x71e4…0525 | No | 88 | 99.5¢ | $87 | — |
| PauliusKuncinas0xb7de…f0db | Yes | 7,143 | 1.5¢ | $86 | — |
| kpace0x8289…60b1 | No | 82 | 99.5¢ | $81 | — |
| snowphyllis0x38ee…45a4 | No | 81 | 99.5¢ | $80 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $79 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| nicholasmurphy0xe2fa…4cc3 | No | 77 | 99.5¢ | $76 | — |
| elizabethwoods0xf7cf…3b3f | No | 70 | 99.5¢ | $69 | — |
| miguellandry0x3e45…3c99 | No | 68 | 99.5¢ | $67 | — |
| bishopdawn0xfdb1…7301 | No | 68 | 99.5¢ | $67 | — |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | Yes | 5,409 | 0.6¢ | $65 | New60 settled bets |
| Door230mer20xd775…e4b7 | No | 66 | 99.1¢ | $65 | — |
| laserowy2310x59fe…82cf | No | 64 | 99.5¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 5,213 | 0.6¢ | $63 | New29 settled bets |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 5,199 | 0.6¢ | $62 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 5,129 | 0.8¢ | $62 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,109 | 0.5¢ | $61 | — |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 5,052 | 0.5¢ | $61 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| PaulSidneyWard0x5068…3e2d | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $60 | — |
| YYVlsdzFiR0x2a88…36b9 | No | 59 | 99.2¢ | $58 | — |
| jhzgrmbb0x8f17…a6d0 | No | 58 | 99.2¢ | $57 | — |
| kristygarrett0xb4fc…03c2 | No | 57 | 99.5¢ | $56 | — |
| btloifwy0xd0dc…a09c | No | 56 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| 0xd89b…6d79 | No | 56 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| lvocogac0xa57a…6ff4 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $54 | — |
| 0xc996…05c3 | No | 54 | 99.2¢ | $53 | — |
| JohnLenon50xaaff…825c | No | 53 | 99.4¢ | $53 | — |
| nyqchqyw0x242f…5e71 | No | 53 | 99.2¢ | $52 | — |
| 0x4e40…c2d1 | No | 52 | 99.5¢ | $52 | — |
| HjqEzXv9Mv0x53de…e49b | No | 52 | 99.2¢ | $52 | — |
| 0xdd78…3307 | No | 37 | 99.3¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x9878…9ec3 | No | 29 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| BardBeacher0x27a7…1538 | No | 28 | 99.5¢ | $28 | — |
| dattta0x4dfa…46a0 | No | 26 | 99.3¢ | $26 | — |
| chiien0x822d…66d5 | No | 23 | 99.5¢ | $23 | — |
| 8aa0f3de4dfc0xb4c3…09c3 | No | 22 | 99.3¢ | $22 | — |
| c3810x546f…4e1b | No | 21 | 99.3¢ | $21 | — |
| elville0x39b4…287f | No | 18 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x9d5b…986e | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc125…68d9 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| TrumanStrong0xb016…bcec | No | 14 | 99.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe86b…0061 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x1dd1…f435 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x732b…d0c2 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 5114p0xce57…4b2c | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 65 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.