Market · 20 of 43 outcomes
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,013,812 | 0.9¢ | $2.53K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $760 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.3¢ | $750 | — |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 176,933 | 0.2¢ | $442 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| TedforPrez290x33ce…fcc0 | Yes | 166,667 | 0.3¢ | $417 | New12 settled bets |
| mon20260xce14…e38f | Yes | 100,908 | 1.2¢ | $252 | New21 settled bets |
| KotKot0x20c4…908e | No | 210 | 99.8¢ | $210 | New44 settled bets |
| laotianyouanpai0x1bbc…727b | No | 165 | 99.0¢ | $165 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x2ce8…4527 | Yes | 60,000 | 1.0¢ | $150 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 779 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $125 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 46,105 | 0.6¢ | $115 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| hpeck0x2715…b68d | No | 104 | 99.8¢ | $104 | New42 settled bets |
| tannermichelle0x2156…722a | No | 102 | 99.8¢ | $102 | New46 settled bets |
| carolinegould0xe0a7…5bb7 | No | 101 | 99.6¢ | $101 | — |
| DataDog0x56d7…3d6b | Yes | 40,000 | 0.3¢ | $100 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.7¢ | $100 | — |
| summersivan0xffb1…dc44 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| jessecastillo0x3436…323f | No | 97 | 99.8¢ | $97 | New37 settled bets |
| brettpark0x89ea…18e9 | No | 96 | 99.8¢ | $96 | — |
| willislorraine0xa765…6e0a | No | 88 | 99.8¢ | $88 | — |
| brooksmonique0x8fb1…6a81 | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | — |
| carrollmichelle0xa81e…eb1b | No | 69 | 99.8¢ | $69 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 27,297 | 0.4¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| marcusjohnson0xa3e9…c883 | No | 67 | 99.8¢ | $67 | — |
| karenwoodward0xafa2…9383 | No | 66 | 99.8¢ | $66 | — |
| mjkkkut0x167a…51b1 | No | 65 | 99.5¢ | $65 | New71 settled bets |
| bravePol0x7d41…8bba | Yes | 24,600 | 0.3¢ | $62 | — |
| gtgtgtrg0x1e3a…0ff5 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| cowanlori0xe2c7…93cc | No | 55 | 99.8¢ | $55 | — |
| jumpolyty0xc082…41fc | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| 2221640xd287…cc05 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | — |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | Yes | 19,139 | 1.1¢ | $48 | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,067 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16,645 | 1.0¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| lucascoleman0x51e1…f9b8 | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | — |
| hgjfhdj0x0fd6…a3c2 | No | 39 | 99.7¢ | $39 | New36 settled bets |
| fdfhydj0xb52e…9f4f | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $38 | — |
| hgfjydht0x4118…7b4d | No | 38 | 99.8¢ | $37 | New9 settled bets |
| vcheyj0x9a78…9583 | No | 37 | 99.7¢ | $37 | — |
| dgfdgffh0x91a6…9fde | No | 37 | 99.7¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 12,784 | 0.9¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 12,600 | 1.2¢ | $32 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Omimp0x2c3d…6e0f | No | 26 | 99.0¢ | $26 | New30 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 10,078 | 0.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| KamrenRunolfsdottir0x28de…d5cb | No | 25 | 98.9¢ | $25 | New8 settled bets |
| 7u7tgh0x4114…e978 | No | 24 | 98.6¢ | $24 | New23 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| dghbrt550x78b4…15b6 | No | 22 | 99.1¢ | $22 | — |
| IngramIsaac0x6854…71d4 | No | 21 | 98.9¢ | $21 | — |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | Yes | 8,400 | 0.3¢ | $21 | — |
| Amyyy0xae3e…daef | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 7,052 | 1.3¢ | $18 | — |
| fr8fr0xa023…a4ea | No | 16 | 99.1¢ | $16 | — |
| AvaLiuXX0x4618…758e | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xb4ba…4995 | No | 16 | 98.8¢ | $15 | — |
| u880x5e61…3948 | No | 15 | 99.1¢ | $15 | — |
| kjj38440x89c0…bc6e | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0a250x4b5b…0872 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | — |
| kkmoat0xe163…3949 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xade7…73ad | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6fe1…33c9 | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xbc7d…5d1f | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x65bc…867e | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xf6ff…3e54 | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xb286…bfee | No | 13 | 99.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x8d8a…7c6f | No | 13 | 99.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x8f52…f2a7 | No | 13 | 99.1¢ | $13 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 4,818 | 0.2¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| TPredictions0xeaa6…0a65 | Yes | 4,512 | 0.2¢ | $11 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,268 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 3,804 | 1.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 3,778 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 3,280 | 1.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| MZorz0xc4cf…39fe | Yes | 3,000 | 1.0¢ | $8 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 2,777 | 0.6¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,308 | 1.3¢ | $6 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 2,222 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 1,894 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 1,720 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 870 bets |
| aljarreau0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfc7f…23f6 | Yes | 1,458 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,364 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| HeeHee110x45aa…7949 | Yes | 1,280 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.3K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.