Market · 28 of 35 outcomes
Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | $4 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 285 | 0.0¢ | $2 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 99 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 75 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 70 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 54 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| stra-l110x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | 47 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 45 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 45 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 40 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 40 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x7009…390a | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 18 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 10 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 47gds0x1787…58c2 | Yes | 4 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 94.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 2 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 1 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | Yes | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.