Market · 17 of 71 outcomes
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 241 | 38.9¢ | $117 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 100 | 63.0¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 40 | 87.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,172 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 40 | 63.0¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| abc30x22a4…13e5 | No | 21 | 92.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $10 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 20 | 52.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play