Market · 34 of 53 outcomes
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brikman0x806b…2c96 | No | 3,684 | 99.9¢ | $3.68K | — |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,670,765 | 0.6¢ | $2.51K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 478,943 | 0.1¢ | $718 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 195,884 | 0.6¢ | $294 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| sadads0x9d97…16f1 | No | 247 | 99.0¢ | $247 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 116,999 | 0.6¢ | $175 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 96,420 | 0.3¢ | $145 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| csOqmTuy0xb771…804a | No | 128 | 99.4¢ | $127 | — |
| uFtPYn0x074c…9163 | No | 123 | 99.4¢ | $123 | — |
| OXLvUDoB0x14b0…79cc | No | 117 | 99.4¢ | $117 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 77,068 | 0.3¢ | $116 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| CeegOqgt0xec5f…6750 | No | 112 | 99.4¢ | $112 | — |
| TnFOCX0x9ecd…52c1 | No | 106 | 99.4¢ | $106 | — |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| jaustw0xd204…476d | No | 101 | 99.7¢ | $101 | — |
| 0x60b6…8be6 | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| stephensonjonathan0x8179…901d | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| jacksontraci0xf972…ac59 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| elliottbrooke0xf025…1058 | No | 86 | 99.9¢ | $86 | — |
| davistanya0x0d36…12ed | No | 79 | 99.9¢ | $79 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| katelynjohnson0xa3a5…4340 | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| duane270x09bf…f7ad | No | 64 | 99.9¢ | $64 | — |
| brandymata0x8a9b…134a | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| martinezmaria0x727e…392c | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| ToolHand0x5bfa…9616 | No | 53 | 99.5¢ | $52 | — |
| jhzhte0xa0ea…9aa4 | No | 52 | 99.7¢ | $52 | — |
| lknox0x8ed8…afb4 | No | 51 | 99.9¢ | $51 | — |
| 084f5b0x50c8…e788 | No | 41 | 99.4¢ | $41 | — |
| awthaisy0x46c1…6372 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| yhnkk0xf6ce…adaf | No | 34 | 99.7¢ | $34 | — |
| mwinters0x056f…e18c | No | 34 | 99.9¢ | $34 | — |
| uzxasa0x7335…645b | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| wenzooo0x5267…f0ad | No | 32 | 99.9¢ | $32 | — |
| goazhr0x1843…2b23 | No | 31 | 99.7¢ | $31 | — |
| jieinw0x80c2…c3d6 | No | 31 | 99.9¢ | $31 | — |
| byd88d0x41cd…3551 | No | 29 | 99.7¢ | $29 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 17,509 | 0.8¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| cc0bca0x781e…9c90 | No | 24 | 99.4¢ | $24 | — |
| lasali0x9614…cfdd | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xe314…bd91 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.1¢ | $23 | — |
| ashbgt0x4342…da97 | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $22 | — |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 14,770 | 0.3¢ | $22 | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| 401756fbd0x31fa…26a7 | No | 22 | 99.4¢ | $22 | — |
| tausde0x4cf1…a39e | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $22 | — |
| 011d227420xb938…1613 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,799 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Koniuszki0x661b…671d | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| ayleign0xf14d…4568 | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 12,161 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| gatsd0x3203…288a | No | 18 | 99.7¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xf546…c5e7 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.1¢ | $18 | — |
| carkgoh0x0382…4884 | No | 18 | 99.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 3e2ca0x4ba0…0058 | No | 17 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 5GRFG4340xf3c4…3a09 | Yes | 11,100 | 0.5¢ | $17 | — |
| CatherineElinor0xfca3…7820 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| simalu0xfd23…df9d | Yes | 10,174 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| faues0x2e17…2b2b | No | 15 | 99.7¢ | $15 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 990ll90x86d8…2bde | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Wuazz0x26f4…e110 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,350 | 0.6¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0x5ad8…169a | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x8819…cd2a | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| dfad21310x1df7…84c5 | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x4ac0…6129 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xf40e…ff76 | Yes | 8,000 | 0.5¢ | $12 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 7,777 | 0.6¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| 0x0a3d…07c9 | Yes | 5,005 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $8 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | New68 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x147e…186b | Yes | 4,566 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc8f9…6b82 | Yes | 4,445 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,080 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0xee8d…ed4b | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x3f6e…bedd | Yes | 3,825 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xddb5…b853 | Yes | 3,555 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa84f…7551 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9937…ac0e | Yes | 3,400 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2211…ed32 | Yes | 3,400 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xff65…0670 | Yes | 3,355 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 0x876d…b661 | Yes | 3,325 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x2c01…c12b | Yes | 3,285 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x62e9…4539 | Yes | 3,265 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0bd4…4960 | Yes | 3,125 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x968e…71ec | Yes | 3,005 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4f91…634e | Yes | 3,005 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 127 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.