Market · 26 of 35 outcomes
Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 5 | 98.2¢ | $5 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 295 | 50.0¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 268 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| 31yasddada0x4ede…37c8 | Yes | 123 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 99 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 69 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0708…f218 | Yes | 67 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$20.48 per $100 · 958 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 62 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 46 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 44 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 9 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| personal4slim0xac74…cc6e | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 3 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 35 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.