Market · 8 of 54 outcomes
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 396,118 | 2.0¢ | $10.9K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 244,070 | 2.0¢ | $6.71K | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 180,678 | 3.0¢ | $4.97K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 178,764 | 0.7¢ | $4.92K | New22 settled bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 160,609 | 2.1¢ | $4.42K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| Fuzzy-Logic0xdfe1…6c98 | Yes | 160,000 | 2.9¢ | $4.4K | Losing−$23.44 per $100 · 212 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 155,988 | 2.4¢ | $4.29K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 116,247 | 2.7¢ | $3.2K | New6 settled bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | Yes | 78,669 | 2.4¢ | $2.16K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 76,120 | 0.8¢ | $2.09K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | No | 1,500 | 97.4¢ | $1.46K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 0x6fc4…08cc | Yes | 52,686 | 2.2¢ | $1.45K | — |
| Contraposition0xddad…c3da | Yes | 47,020 | 2.0¢ | $1.29K | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 46,350 | 1.3¢ | $1.27K | New41 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 45,715 | 0.8¢ | $1.26K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| oceanmist790xc401…8b2c | Yes | 42,905 | 2.4¢ | $1.18K | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 42,216 | 0.4¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.1K | — |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 39,339 | 2.2¢ | $1.08K | New77 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 34,419 | 0.6¢ | $947 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $825 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| 0xc550…e090 | No | 714 | 97.8¢ | $694 | — |
| hotcatcat0x3eca…ab82 | No | 700 | 97.4¢ | $681 | — |
| kaya4ever0xdd2c…709a | Yes | 24,143 | 3.9¢ | $664 | New1 settled bet |
| 4356423769090x3519…4182 | No | 647 | 97.4¢ | $630 | — |
| vbfg6erhgfjhg0x1816…01b5 | No | 640 | 97.7¢ | $623 | New24 settled bets |
| madd1s0n0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | 21,805 | 2.2¢ | $600 | New68 settled bets |
| eswdeswd0xfe39…3ba1 | No | 605 | 98.4¢ | $588 | — |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 19,915 | 1.0¢ | $548 | — |
| Squallstyle0xcd0f…a925 | Yes | 18,400 | 2.7¢ | $506 | — |
| Gerix970x310e…a062 | No | 514 | 97.4¢ | $500 | New97 settled bets |
| 0x86ab…54ce | Yes | 17,499 | 2.8¢ | $481 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 16,717 | 1.6¢ | $460 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| SaucyPopcorn0xf58b…38b2 | Yes | 16,689 | 2.7¢ | $459 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $397 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xd9a3…d5a3 | Yes | 13,500 | 8.0¢ | $371 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $367 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 12,909 | 6.0¢ | $355 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Vidreovulume0xee80…d955 | No | 365 | 97.4¢ | $355 | — |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | Yes | 10,879 | 2.3¢ | $299 | — |
| Xidol0x138c…89ac | No | 300 | 98.5¢ | $291 | New48 settled bets |
| xiomio0x1188…3820 | No | 292 | 50.0¢ | $284 | New21 settled bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 10,051 | 2.1¢ | $276 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Helloworld4520x4c2f…3794 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.6¢ | $275 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 10,000 | 2.8¢ | $275 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| zucky0xb29c…0e87 | Yes | 10,000 | 10.0¢ | $275 | — |
| yh19880x008e…63be | Yes | 10,000 | 2.4¢ | $275 | New9 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,705 | 0.8¢ | $267 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| misc14440x7310…1134 | Yes | 9,256 | 1.7¢ | $255 | — |
| fhgtft75tryhgfj0x26af…6d01 | No | 257 | 97.4¢ | $250 | New23 settled bets |
| cvr56760x483e…219f | No | 256 | 97.8¢ | $249 | — |
| Touch0fgrey0x05e6…8d44 | Yes | 9,012 | 2.3¢ | $248 | New27 settled bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 200 | 96.0¢ | $195 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 6,889 | 3.0¢ | $189 | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| BlackswanDefi0x28c3…da06 | Yes | 6,517 | 2.0¢ | $179 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 176 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 5,652 | 0.7¢ | $155 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,400 | 0.8¢ | $149 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 0x2238…bee4 | Yes | 5,122 | 2.5¢ | $141 | New5 settled bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $138 | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.7¢ | $137 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 4,825 | 0.8¢ | $133 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| ThemanofLadyLuck0x5fda…01d5 | Yes | 4,795 | 2.3¢ | $132 | — |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 4,359 | 2.4¢ | $120 | — |
| 0xe725…2b00 | No | 122 | 98.2¢ | $119 | — |
| Aziazari0x137e…2b87 | No | 91 | 98.5¢ | $89 | New41 settled bets |
| jialial0x4e09…d3a0 | No | 87 | 97.7¢ | $85 | — |
| Ob4atel0x964a…df42 | Yes | 2,943 | 50.0¢ | $81 | — |
| judauas0x2377…5547 | No | 62 | 97.2¢ | $61 | — |
| awWOW0x9a98…3984 | No | 61 | 97.7¢ | $59 | — |
| okno-windows0x346d…aa71 | No | 59 | 97.4¢ | $57 | New25 settled bets |
| yuyujiajia0x518e…da49 | No | 58 | 97.4¢ | $56 | — |
| ilovecartoons0xdd9b…5124 | No | 58 | 97.2¢ | $56 | — |
| dimontheslayer0x84b7…0254 | No | 57 | 97.3¢ | $56 | — |
| gavrilaihsan0x918e…3203 | No | 57 | 97.3¢ | $56 | — |
| yuyuran0xd668…2235 | No | 57 | 97.4¢ | $55 | — |
| kktkkui0x98ae…ce55 | No | 56 | 97.5¢ | $55 | — |
| homatomba0x991d…0044 | No | 56 | 97.7¢ | $54 | — |
| senyavow0x2c4f…9f58 | No | 56 | 97.2¢ | $54 | — |
| grigoriyma0x7ca5…82de | No | 55 | 97.9¢ | $53 | — |
| Lambii0x9298…5930 | No | 55 | 98.2¢ | $53 | — |
| Alla-h0x6236…4558 | No | 54 | 97.2¢ | $53 | — |
| dajiahaoa0x1208…617b | No | 54 | 97.5¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 113 bets |
| shapovkostik0xf91b…fd85 | No | 54 | 97.4¢ | $53 | — |
| devochkaugolek0xe3b7…e14b | No | 53 | 97.6¢ | $52 | — |
| zztia0x4d1a…a275 | No | 53 | 50.0¢ | $52 | — |
| madk1488d0x8738…e1c5 | No | 53 | 97.6¢ | $51 | — |
| uuiuui0x9436…8262 | No | 52 | 97.4¢ | $51 | — |
12 accounts bet both sides equally · 8.68K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.