Market · 6 of 53 outcomes
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 294,448 | 3.9¢ | $15K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 253,408 | 4.1¢ | $12.9K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| TortugaGorda0xea2f…a8ef | Yes | 205,437 | 5.0¢ | $10.5K | Proven+$29.65 per $100 · 1,150 bets |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 200,283 | 3.9¢ | $10.2K | Proven+$4.97 per $100 · 403 bets |
| testing1231231230x4a74…d69e | No | 10,000 | 95.0¢ | $9.49K | Proven+$14.70 per $100 · 208 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 168,591 | 4.0¢ | $8.6K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| BearKingdom0xabe7…d623 | Yes | 162,687 | 5.0¢ | $8.3K | New4 settled bets |
| Mantronix0x073a…91e7 | Yes | 89,981 | 3.6¢ | $4.59K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 171 bets |
| GobiDesertCanoePro0x0026…aef7 | Yes | 87,250 | 5.2¢ | $4.45K | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 532 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 83,836 | 0.7¢ | $4.28K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 69,995 | 4.0¢ | $3.57K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 68,119 | 3.3¢ | $3.47K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 66,669 | 4.4¢ | $3.4K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 64,329 | 5.1¢ | $3.28K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 63,803 | 1.2¢ | $3.25K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| balloooooo0x153b…68dd | Yes | 60,000 | 5.7¢ | $3.06K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 353 bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | 59,134 | 5.0¢ | $3.02K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 53,244 | 2.7¢ | $2.72K | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 50,002 | 5.2¢ | $2.55K | New6 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 44,802 | 3.5¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| orange116770x7ea5…5ed4 | Yes | 43,795 | 3.9¢ | $2.23K | — |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 37,702 | 5.7¢ | $1.92K | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 36,170 | 5.2¢ | $1.84K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 35,970 | 0.4¢ | $1.83K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | 35,040 | 4.1¢ | $1.79K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 31,726 | 3.6¢ | $1.62K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | Yes | 26,233 | 4.3¢ | $1.34K | — |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 26,142 | 6.0¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| patrickreiss0xcd3c…a801 | Yes | 24,130 | 4.1¢ | $1.23K | — |
| infinitevanilla0x3c9a…6d6a | Yes | 23,022 | 4.6¢ | $1.17K | New16 settled bets |
| licario0x56e7…46a6 | Yes | 20,268 | 3.9¢ | $1.03K | — |
| randomen0x665b…32b1 | Yes | 20,000 | 4.1¢ | $1.02K | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 19,990 | 11.0¢ | $1.02K | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $980 | New41 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 18,803 | 2.8¢ | $959 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| vizsla0xf490…727c | Yes | 17,177 | 7.0¢ | $876 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 15,777 | 0.6¢ | $805 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| prime880xd217…d23e | Yes | 15,412 | 5.0¢ | $786 | — |
| duckbilledmatypus0x2bc9…2c38 | Yes | 15,000 | 6.0¢ | $765 | New26 settled bets |
| SagiNahor0x31fc…4e30 | Yes | 14,941 | 4.6¢ | $762 | Proven+$60.87 per $100 · 134 bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 779 | 93.0¢ | $740 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 13,910 | 4.9¢ | $709 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 12,000 | 5.0¢ | $612 | — |
| RBax0x4366…c73e | Yes | 11,413 | 4.4¢ | $582 | Proven+$11.27 per $100 · 547 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 11,304 | 0.8¢ | $576 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 11,298 | 4.1¢ | $576 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 10,348 | 4.4¢ | $528 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| DLGC0xe5a2…5384 | Yes | 10,000 | 4.6¢ | $510 | — |
| neuroplasticompany0x2458…f8e7 | Yes | 10,000 | 5.0¢ | $510 | New43 settled bets |
| 0x405c…9537 | Yes | 9,554 | 4.7¢ | $487 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,170 | 1.6¢ | $468 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 9,106 | 4.3¢ | $464 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
| LumenHaven0xe694…3771 | No | 457 | 94.9¢ | $434 | — |
| TpL7Xq5JwR0x6f08…bfa7 | No | 434 | 94.9¢ | $412 | — |
| Amidaaway0x6b08…7db1 | No | 333 | 94.8¢ | $316 | — |
| Werwolf20x1fee…8669 | No | 272 | 50.0¢ | $259 | New22 settled bets |
| venderfaun0x3fa0…64a6 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $190 | New38 settled bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 130 | 93.8¢ | $123 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| 0xa476…eab0 | No | 104 | 95.6¢ | $99 | — |
| Astro10xce62…687a | No | 104 | 96.2¢ | $99 | — |
| leo-20200x1882…fdb3 | No | 100 | 96.0¢ | $95 | New57 settled bets |
| schludy0x77d7…6547 | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $95 | — |
| gfj6757ruy0x8be7…8f7b | No | 79 | 94.7¢ | $75 | — |
| pipiq0x8031…5565 | No | 77 | 94.5¢ | $73 | — |
| chelsea-sucks0x49b6…6e80 | No | 66 | 94.7¢ | $63 | New32 settled bets |
| freddy.fy950x8401…bcb5 | No | 65 | 96.2¢ | $62 | — |
| Luxemboss0xff96…9cfe | No | 64 | 96.1¢ | $60 | — |
| iran-out-of-alcohol0xa552…2e67 | No | 59 | 96.0¢ | $56 | — |
| srtahovshuik0x0f01…592d | No | 58 | 95.2¢ | $55 | New24 settled bets |
| jeshtekpopierdolil0xff59…afea | No | 57 | 95.0¢ | $54 | — |
| jaimereilly0x4d0a…f3fc | No | 57 | 94.7¢ | $54 | New27 settled bets |
| SlavenStoj327600xffbf…0824 | No | 55 | 94.9¢ | $52 | — |
| kak-slaven-nash-gospod-v-zione0x67dd…71c1 | No | 53 | 95.9¢ | $50 | — |
| martenlill79540x86ae…a071 | No | 53 | 95.9¢ | $50 | — |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 52 | 95.8¢ | $49 | — |
| Farshmak640x8199…3a57 | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $47 | — |
| Jumbaysimba0xaef2…6e2f | No | 50 | 95.7¢ | $47 | — |
| Kuziyuk0xde25…3e5e | No | 50 | 95.9¢ | $47 | — |
| charlottepatricksmith0xf674…7fca | No | 50 | 95.8¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x809b…ba5c | No | 49 | 96.5¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x1df2…c34a | No | 47 | 96.5¢ | $44 | New8 settled bets |
| 0x05cb…ea28 | No | 42 | 95.0¢ | $40 | New27 settled bets |
| PMBMC0x1033…9db9 | No | 42 | 96.2¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.66 per $100 · 725 bets |
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | No | 37 | 95.2¢ | $35 | New13 settled bets |
16 accounts bet both sides equally · 5.77K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.