Market · 13 of 54 outcomes
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 623,886 | 0.6¢ | $9.36K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 316,228 | 0.2¢ | $4.74K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 212,057 | 0.7¢ | $3.18K | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $3.03K | New22 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 200,000 | 0.2¢ | $3K | New6 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 166,449 | 0.8¢ | $2.5K | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 104,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.56K | New85 settled bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 80,518 | 0.4¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 75,819 | 0.4¢ | $1.14K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | Yes | 70,018 | 0.2¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$16.85 per $100 · 138 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $788 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 52,229 | 0.7¢ | $783 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $600 | — |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $450 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $450 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $431 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $375 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 22,201 | 0.4¢ | $333 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 21,609 | 0.5¢ | $324 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $312 | New41 settled bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 20,600 | 0.8¢ | $309 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 19,990 | 0.7¢ | $300 | — |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 19,663 | 0.8¢ | $295 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 16,015 | 0.5¢ | $240 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.7¢ | $225 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,550 | 0.7¢ | $218 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $217 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $200 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0x9a69…c2a0 | Yes | 12,985 | 0.4¢ | $195 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 10,088 | 0.2¢ | $151 | — |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 9,506 | 0.2¢ | $143 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.0¢ | $131 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 7,050 | 0.0¢ | $106 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $93 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $90 | New65 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $83 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $75 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.0¢ | $75 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,613 | 0.8¢ | $69 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 1sk0x06e8…4675 | Yes | 4,226 | 0.0¢ | $63 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 979 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $56 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,696 | 0.7¢ | $55 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| csfortheg0x4b7a…4817 | Yes | 3,552 | 0.0¢ | $53 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $49 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 3,206 | 0.7¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| gfdhhdt0xf2d4…d239 | No | 45 | 99.7¢ | $44 | — |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 2,866 | 0.4¢ | $43 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| sghjyj0x4fd4…e497 | No | 43 | 99.7¢ | $42 | — |
| kgcgrs0x4083…b38b | No | 42 | 99.7¢ | $41 | — |
| 64354320xf360…338d | No | 38 | 99.7¢ | $38 | — |
| hddrsrg0x7485…688a | No | 37 | 99.8¢ | $37 | — |
| LPLTES0xe9b7…b301 | No | 37 | 99.9¢ | $36 | — |
| ounftthr0x3373…5f5a | No | 35 | 99.7¢ | $34 | — |
| gfdhdhj0xf508…8030 | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $32 | — |
| gfdttrr0xf548…c8ed | No | 32 | 99.6¢ | $31 | — |
| thfdd5sdh0x7fbb…d66c | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Layla16040x8cfc…1edd | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9554…286c | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| longLife550x95bc…e2a6 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| palatka0x41c2…3363 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| parallelkom0xaaf9…0528 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| xarrovic0xbeb8…0063 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| gegimon30xc1e5…1db6 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bigxrajk0x5d50…5121 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| batoga0xe9dc…04ab | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| kloumw0xc13f…1a57 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| koninomi0x9f4c…a34e | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| grancik0x2446…406e | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| havjer0xa498…d3c5 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.