Market · 11 of 12 outcomes
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 99.7¢ | $47 | — |
| marli90x2b86…ab1d | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | — |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | Yes | 17,857 | 1.2¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| ba770x0c8c…aa2e | No | 9 | 99.9¢ | $9 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 13,131 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,366 bets |
| 0x5016…017d | Yes | 13,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 12,166 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 3ab30x700c…3217 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Kilorth0xadf6…704e | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| uiyguiy0x20cf…91db | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,695 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| 0x2271…7e43 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| zdenek10x6f8f…722b | Yes | 5,500 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$26.25 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,147 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 4,400 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| 0x5e83…3bb7 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$11.80 per $100 · 4,224 bets |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 2 | 99.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,847 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,720 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 3,533 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,238 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,227 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 3,108 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,865 bets |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | Yes | 3,084 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,979 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| 452b0xb3eb…5bd3 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 2,867 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,231 bets |
| aed60x71b4…a709 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2fc50x9e0d…0b4f | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 2,015 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0xc460…cae6 | Yes | 2,012 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| sadpersone0x8c11…1a93 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3408…ab7c | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1,540 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,485 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1,479 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,187 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1,185 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,703 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,002 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| Giamboo0x1b5d…97a2 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| hup890xe1ff…57d7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 999 | 1.2¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| RubenPearson33670x1dfd…946b | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 935 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 826 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 767 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 747 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 743 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 707 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 648 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 565 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,956 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 564 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 555 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 549 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| yuf8f0x2696…75d6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| shin2356s0x4793…61d8 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| saniaelaine0x776d…d13e | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| siwhitne0x9d34…2ab1 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3b35…e185 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fundas0x39b4…3258 | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| 0x0c90…b021 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| tongyis0x6260…1c0c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| RidelFishing0x061d…0dd3 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.