Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 1,511 | 21.1¢ | $854 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 287 | 80.0¢ | $125 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 137 | 35.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | No | 158 | 42.5¢ | $69 | — |
| 48moneymaker0x9b97…6084 | Yes | 100 | 32.2¢ | $56 | — |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | No | 80 | 64.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 41.4¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 60 | 36.0¢ | $34 | — |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | No | 25 | 70.0¢ | $11 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 78.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 10 | 42.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 47.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 5 | 42.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 3 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 2 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 1 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 74.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 75.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Eli.copter0x22ef…b8a5 | Yes | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | No | 0 | 42.2¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,170 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 2 events · $65.9K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.