Market · 22 of 43 outcomes
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 882,039 | 0.8¢ | $1.32K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $479 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 198,216 | 0.9¢ | $297 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 106,262 | 0.2¢ | $159 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| 09ra0x9a9c…5480 | No | 152 | 98.8¢ | $152 | — |
| f1238860x3cd7…d127 | Yes | 85,852 | 1.0¢ | $129 | New2 settled bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 74,596 | 0.3¢ | $112 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| carol650x0358…207c | No | 102 | 99.9¢ | $102 | — |
| fmccarthy0x07bf…f712 | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| dianamorales0xe67a…8bd7 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| Alex_0xf223…7b5f | Yes | 59,394 | 1.1¢ | $89 | — |
| parkerchristina0xef51…3a2f | No | 84 | 99.8¢ | $84 | — |
| stephengordon0x25fa…bb60 | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| marthareyes0xdf7a…676c | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| tasha180xcbd7…0831 | No | 81 | 99.9¢ | $81 | — |
| mostlywrong0xe9cf…dbad | Yes | 53,657 | 0.9¢ | $80 | — |
| jose270x6f2b…b091 | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| donnajordan0xd0be…720d | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| ramseymorgan0xe183…fc7c | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| dillonsergio0xca6e…af8e | No | 78 | 99.9¢ | $78 | — |
| gomezlindsay0x920e…9efa | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| lawrencebrett0xb7c2…c450 | No | 77 | 99.8¢ | $77 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 50,000 | 1.0¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xe5f0…dc1d | Yes | 50,000 | 1.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$9.79 per $100 · 4,365 bets |
| torresvincent0x40c3…6fb1 | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 46,681 | 1.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| hhhh3430xe7af…3d55 | No | 66 | 99.0¢ | $66 | — |
| aguilarmartha0xf6f8…b65d | No | 61 | 99.9¢ | $61 | — |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | — |
| olsonjonathan0xabc7…4835 | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| OnGodNoCap0x1cca…a1c3 | Yes | 38,049 | 0.7¢ | $57 | New27 settled bets |
| hotis1230x0825…aec7 | No | 56 | 98.7¢ | $56 | — |
| numbeuuno10x24d7…9407 | No | 56 | 98.9¢ | $56 | — |
| ulomynok40x7aad…ad4f | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $55 | — |
| samanthagrant0x933a…dbee | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| pomemezon0xee48…5d3f | No | 51 | 99.0¢ | $51 | — |
| catdog0x97d4…668e | No | 51 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 31,435 | 0.5¢ | $47 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| seanhall0xa689…9237 | No | 47 | 99.9¢ | $47 | — |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 29,999 | 1.2¢ | $45 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| bennettelizabeth0xa025…94d5 | No | 45 | 99.9¢ | $45 | — |
| adad230x108c…cc82 | No | 42 | 99.8¢ | $42 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 27,177 | 0.8¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| Hedde0x2f1c…892d | Yes | 26,681 | 0.6¢ | $40 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,076 | 0.4¢ | $39 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0xe534…6319 | No | 39 | 98.9¢ | $38 | — |
| HoldenBloodfeast0x8204…56ea | Yes | 25,000 | 1.3¢ | $38 | New92 settled bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0x4d16…8640 | No | 32 | 98.7¢ | $32 | — |
| madd1s0n0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | 20,956 | 1.0¢ | $31 | New68 settled bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 20,228 | 0.8¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.2¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Kubrick0xf24f…15b2 | Yes | 18,160 | 1.3¢ | $27 | — |
| randomizer880x2f09…d1d6 | Yes | 17,125 | 1.2¢ | $26 | New83 settled bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 15,608 | 1.1¢ | $23 | — |
| AtMarS0x2979…5137 | Yes | 14,716 | 1.4¢ | $22 | — |
| hjgoo0x68d5…11ab | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 13,353 | 0.9¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| LeTmean0xa324…afc9 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,766 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| StellaXu0x1352…8aa3 | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x7767…ca22 | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x0262…06d1 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| ttgrw0x05f4…5280 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| bjbjb0x0884…d885 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| honh0x8a06…37e3 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | New65 settled bets |
| ZachB660xc880…8380 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x29bd…6b9f | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x9e29…493b | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6d94…b174 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x39d1…2dd5 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x45fb…6134 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| RSERW0x1a68…003c | No | 13 | 98.9¢ | $13 | New31 settled bets |
| 0x4c09…c8f5 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x0087…cc0b | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xd4b4…f818 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x3a50…3e96 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x12e2…7c41 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb654…0f20 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x66c8…fed1 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 6,486 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| phantomtooth0x44b8…6459 | Yes | 6,250 | 1.2¢ | $9 | — |
| SHILLWALTON0x12c9…2294 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $8 | New27 settled bets |
| OP470x6ce7…d16e | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | New2 settled bets |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 339 bets |
| Podcastmaker0x8e69…bb6e | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 4,600 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 4,200 | 0.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 4,100 | 0.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 3,999 | 0.3¢ | $6 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 3,858 | 1.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 3,333 | 1.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | Yes | 3,275 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,298 bets |
| pollydanger0x1414…53c3 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.68 per $100 · 424 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 94 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.