Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fiuehyizhyfirytge0x0291…92b8 | Yes | 81,414 | 0.4¢ | $204 | — |
| fff340x307b…5df9 | No | 137 | 99.8¢ | $137 | — |
| yyy2210x7d63…f95f | No | 132 | 99.8¢ | $132 | — |
| kk333h0x5e27…7e5b | No | 125 | 99.8¢ | $125 | — |
| e8290x47bd…bedb | No | 123 | 99.8¢ | $123 | — |
| ddd2mm0x1fed…5dbe | No | 116 | 99.8¢ | $116 | — |
| 84546540xd107…b0b3 | No | 114 | 99.8¢ | $114 | — |
| 63f8f7320xdabd…1f54 | No | 112 | 99.8¢ | $112 | — |
| 865oo0x3c03…b6df | No | 105 | 99.8¢ | $105 | — |
| 665f20xe592…a338 | No | 103 | 99.8¢ | $103 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 88 | 95.8¢ | $88 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| valentovastan0xe87b…8d24 | Yes | 9,433 | 0.2¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| kllkdd0xd156…74f2 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| plygd0xf077…a95c | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 1,635 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0x9181…64ac | Yes | 966 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 790 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 677 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$16.35 per $100 · 11,119 bets |
| 0xe564…3692 | Yes | 667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 665 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 551 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 100.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 351 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0xaa02…1df8 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 317 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 227 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| MFS-0000x5073…16a7 | Yes | 192 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 483 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 187 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 167 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.58 per $100 · 1,654 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 159 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 120 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 113 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 108 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 95 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 69 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| pabss0xed2a…2606 | Yes | 61 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 50 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 40 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 35 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,333 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 31 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 11 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 10 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 6 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 3 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.26 per $100 · 91,292+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E74750xb0d6…7475 | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.