Market · 28 of 43 outcomes
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 815,729 | 0.6¢ | $1.22K | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 438,079 | 0.5¢ | $657 | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | Yes | 296,746 | 0.1¢ | $445 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 259 bets |
| langford0xa6b5…5219 | No | 390 | 99.5¢ | $389 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 151,000 | 0.4¢ | $227 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| topple0x9d68…87c9 | No | 131 | 99.4¢ | $131 | — |
| EchoPlains0xb3e7…c30d | No | 126 | 99.4¢ | $126 | — |
| frederickcampbell0x2725…b78b | No | 104 | 99.9¢ | $104 | — |
| umon10x294d…56b7 | No | 101 | 99.4¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x2c83…14aa | No | 97 | 99.9¢ | $97 | — |
| trandesiree0xeedd…1bed | No | 97 | 99.8¢ | $97 | — |
| zneal0xef2c…d5dc | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| lmorrison0x6847…6b77 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| kevindiaz0xd2c7…8d45 | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| craigcoleman0x8aee…629c | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| gwendolyn030xe749…1783 | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | — |
| cassandrahoward0xa282…b045 | No | 86 | 99.9¢ | $86 | — |
| tammyholmes0xa9f8…02c4 | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| 0xe1bb…e051 | No | 78 | 99.9¢ | $78 | — |
| jyysad0x26b4…9641 | No | 76 | 99.3¢ | $75 | — |
| clayregina0x8f32…8298 | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| tcisneros0x114a…7ca1 | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| christensenangela0xd081…5ff5 | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| lindseywright0xf9e5…8f5e | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| jonathancain0xd7a2…dd32 | No | 72 | 99.8¢ | $72 | — |
| ulonnnki230x2f96…e610 | No | 62 | 99.5¢ | $62 | — |
| arnoldrobert0x01b7…0a56 | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| karenjimenez0x293f…9a31 | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| vickisuarez0x3864…9d3b | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| mcdonaldbeverly0x2e3d…2a8a | No | 47 | 99.9¢ | $47 | — |
| 6fcvdf0x0808…343f | Yes | 29,998 | 0.5¢ | $45 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 29,104 | 0.5¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| ralph620xbdd2…4abe | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x62dd…39b6 | No | 41 | 99.9¢ | $41 | — |
| whatname0x0b7e…4018 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x2a67…6c0e | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| wenwenjie0xe74a…7562 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | — |
| Ali1231230x7b17…5246 | Yes | 22,222 | 0.9¢ | $33 | New46 settled bets |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 20,999 | 0.4¢ | $31 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| AzureuvFjord0x9b0b…89b0 | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| jiayouge0x1012…61ad | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | New31 settled bets |
| hyeee0xc246…5e14 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| tenzen0x27d5…320d | No | 30 | 99.6¢ | $30 | — |
| OO0000xf423…f301 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $30 | — |
| ugginsip0x2522…ebbe | No | 30 | 99.0¢ | $30 | — |
| oilkj0xdd47…3c6e | No | 29 | 99.4¢ | $29 | — |
| bafcvrs0xfb17…78e0 | No | 26 | 99.3¢ | $26 | — |
| otmen0x226b…ea11 | No | 25 | 99.8¢ | $25 | — |
| hdfvrther0x31cc…a91f | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | New22 settled bets |
| aa1110x05e2…840c | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xe3ca…4891 | No | 22 | 99.4¢ | $22 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 14,443 | 0.6¢ | $22 | — |
| IronqrWill0x9ec2…8f42 | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | — |
| VincentIda0x9559…fe73 | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| IronuvHeart0x37cb…0e31 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| GoldenwxLake0xa420…ff5a | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| AutumnopMoon0x43cc…7dfe | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| jastin200x578d…7043 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 12,662 | 0.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| 0x0c32…3d8c | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $18 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 9,882 | 0.3¢ | $15 | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| KRAKENlite0x2566…5953 | Yes | 9,102 | 0.6¢ | $14 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 9,064 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| plumhazer50x4128…8572 | Yes | 8,973 | 0.6¢ | $13 | New25 settled bets |
| mintjolt820xd48e…a0a2 | Yes | 8,904 | 0.6¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 555230x159a…e4ba | Yes | 7,999 | 0.5¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 7,777 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| altka120x0f66…cd5e | Yes | 6,418 | 0.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 5,594 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 2,720 bets |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x081e…4027 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | New8 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| 0x3757…571a | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Johnyyyyy0xc57f…e9d1 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 542 bets |
| 0xe058…ffe7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| madlaboratoor0x17fa…e908 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $7 | New27 settled bets |
| 0x5348…9160 | Yes | 4,805 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4ab6…5dba | Yes | 4,800 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x8202…d403 | Yes | 4,200 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6510…d89e | Yes | 4,125 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 67uu50x785c…ca8a | Yes | 4,005 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 00000020x9d9b…0991 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xad42…f864 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xbd1a…3c79 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd6ac…f726 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xb831…b00a | Yes | 3,855 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5147…0de4 | Yes | 3,800 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd736…efba | Yes | 3,800 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xff6d…c1bf | Yes | 3,800 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6953…a84f | Yes | 3,788 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x46fd…b01c | Yes | 3,755 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf17c…e2ed | Yes | 3,700 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xcb5e…9b5d | Yes | 3,655 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 10 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 163 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.