Market · 51 of 54 outcomes
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 623,886 | 0.6¢ | $312 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 212,057 | 0.7¢ | $106 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $101 | New22 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 166,449 | 0.8¢ | $83 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 137,818 | 0.7¢ | $69 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 132,229 | 0.3¢ | $66 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 131,193 | 0.4¢ | $66 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 115,000 | 0.8¢ | $58 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 104,000 | 0.4¢ | $52 | New85 settled bets |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 57,520 | 0.4¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 45,520 | 0.4¢ | $23 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 39,200 | 0.8¢ | $20 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 36,028 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| glhfgg0xe1e7…12fe | Yes | 21,000 | 0.6¢ | $11 | Positive+$2.55 per $100 · 1,442 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 20,411 | 0.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 19,663 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 18,953 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | Yes | 16,598 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| AndrewHarris5210x2377…f01a | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| c0O0OLI0O030xfedc…6398 | Yes | 15,597 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$15.67 per $100 · 132 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,550 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| intermester0xff34…bf20 | Yes | 12,820 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 10,930 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 10,210 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| 66885270x3350…f513 | Yes | 10,166 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| nanamiya0x3332…c34c | Yes | 10,001 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| lucky670x81d6…91af | Yes | 9,919 | 0.1¢ | $5 | New81 settled bets |
| jason0090xb150…41af | Yes | 9,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| EliseVargas3800x3c33…a238 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 8,000 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 7,050 | 0.0¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 6,800 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| UWEHJ0xf1cf…0c55 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| Kimberly59500x4df6…b9cf | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| fidokol0x8a66…eaa3 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.