Market · 41 of 43 outcomes
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 440,711 | 0.7¢ | $220 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $160 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 303,649 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 205,000 | 0.1¢ | $102 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| LAROW0xc474…6061 | Yes | 200,000 | 0.1¢ | $100 | New78 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 121,130 | 0.7¢ | $61 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 88,248 | 0.5¢ | $44 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,250 bets |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 75,000 | 0.2¢ | $38 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 67,401 | 0.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 60,000 | 0.1¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 47,746 | 0.4¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 46,340 | 0.7¢ | $23 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 7G-MAN0x6c97…988c | Yes | 28,778 | 0.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $11 | — |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 14,500 | 0.5¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 12,551 | 0.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Germany-0070x6cff…c3da | Yes | 11,966 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.94 per $100 · 6,574 bets |
| Kvaigon0xed6c…9701 | Yes | 11,682 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| lulu660x12df…902e | Yes | 10,900 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| ghh530xe598…4447 | Yes | 10,600 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| shun60x3c88…d2d3 | Yes | 10,500 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Russon0xaeab…ce5d | Yes | 10,010 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| zs260x1aaa…3747 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| niu560x4684…e4e1 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| yulan60x6a64…82de | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| guodong60x8c3c…54b1 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| vvian0x972d…67a1 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| dol-6440xcc7e…57e1 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| miala0xf57d…1f46 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| coldwaterkayakers0xfdff…d544 | Yes | 9,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,898 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| jgttrt0x5e15…4a1e | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| NoahHurst2570xf996…2ab7 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,041 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| DFDGFFF0x2f48…9cc3 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 7,854 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 7,450 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 6,666 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| StanleyColeman8100x6778…954f | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,671 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| waterfall00x67bc…d54e | Yes | 5,066 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 2,474 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.