Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLMarena0xbe2a…f745 | No | 386 | 66.9¢ | $261 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 208 | 76.0¢ | $141 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| ohalving0x7a12…f7fd | Yes | 300 | 37.3¢ | $98 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | No | 114 | 76.0¢ | $77 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | No | 102 | 73.5¢ | $69 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 100 | 62.0¢ | $68 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play