Market · 25 of 53 outcomes
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,233,817 | 1.2¢ | $3.08K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 627,428 | 0.6¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| snimuslivo4ki0x3008…6d5f | No | 417 | 99.8¢ | $416 | New34 settled bets |
| sandyscroll0xbe15…09d8 | No | 350 | 99.2¢ | $349 | — |
| JORDAN232323230xe686…13cb | Yes | 137,674 | 0.9¢ | $344 | — |
| 2kyrs0x481d…d68b | No | 323 | 98.9¢ | $323 | New41 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 111,111 | 0.8¢ | $278 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 110,058 | 0.6¢ | $275 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| BlockyBoi0x37a7…dde1 | Yes | 104,454 | 0.9¢ | $261 | New3 settled bets |
| lucky-man0xc282…c643 | No | 212 | 99.0¢ | $212 | — |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 206 | 97.4¢ | $206 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| Matthewssss0x445a…f8cf | No | 201 | 99.4¢ | $201 | New35 settled bets |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 200 | 99.1¢ | $200 | New25 settled bets |
| oconnorsamantha0x59cb…b740 | No | 185 | 99.8¢ | $185 | New66 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 71,762 | 0.9¢ | $179 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| edmundo0x32c8…0b4b | No | 177 | 99.2¢ | $177 | New55 settled bets |
| duckbb0xff4e…b1af | No | 155 | 99.2¢ | $155 | — |
| betnowlfg0x607d…fec7 | No | 150 | 99.2¢ | $150 | New50 settled bets |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 133 | 99.2¢ | $133 | New42 settled bets |
| Alex200102980x5cd3…1694 | No | 131 | 99.4¢ | $131 | New50 settled bets |
| 0x31e1…bfa5 | No | 130 | 98.9¢ | $130 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xacf4…2501 | No | 130 | 98.9¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x7a5d…bb1c | No | 129 | 98.9¢ | $129 | New17 settled bets |
| 0x9a68…a204 | No | 128 | 98.9¢ | $128 | — |
| 0x9b1a…e60f | No | 126 | 98.9¢ | $126 | — |
| 0x2340…bf1b | No | 124 | 98.9¢ | $124 | New13 settled bets |
| 0xdce9…a4a3 | No | 124 | 98.9¢ | $124 | — |
| bbk0x73a0…907b | No | 122 | 99.2¢ | $122 | New45 settled bets |
| 0x7688…c25a | No | 121 | 98.9¢ | $121 | New15 settled bets |
| zxh11110xa131…de0a | No | 121 | 98.9¢ | $121 | — |
| zxh6660x2adc…3f5a | No | 120 | 98.9¢ | $120 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x09a1…ba57 | No | 118 | 98.9¢ | $118 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x679c…c98c | No | 117 | 98.9¢ | $117 | New17 settled bets |
| shenlong8880xe51b…c068 | No | 117 | 98.9¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x5b3a…97f3 | No | 115 | 98.9¢ | $115 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xa036…191e | No | 114 | 98.9¢ | $114 | — |
| 0xecbe…c6cc | No | 113 | 98.9¢ | $113 | — |
| 0x4f96…c9b4 | No | 112 | 98.9¢ | $112 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 43,988 | 0.8¢ | $110 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| zxh111120xb76e…3c04 | No | 110 | 98.9¢ | $110 | — |
| 0x5074…e0ea | No | 109 | 98.9¢ | $109 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xd7e4…8777 | No | 107 | 98.9¢ | $107 | — |
| 0x04d5…90f5 | No | 106 | 98.9¢ | $106 | New16 settled bets |
| 0xdb23…7587 | No | 105 | 98.9¢ | $105 | — |
| 0xf474…120b | No | 104 | 98.9¢ | $104 | — |
| 0x153a…0881 | No | 103 | 98.9¢ | $103 | New15 settled bets |
| charlesrachel0xe73d…d5b8 | No | 103 | 99.8¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x992f…7b2b | No | 102 | 98.9¢ | $102 | — |
| 0xe8ca…c3c1 | No | 101 | 98.9¢ | $101 | — |
| popjem0x6963…eb2d | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | New40 settled bets |
| organicpp0x03d6…0e03 | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $100 | New30 settled bets |
| portff0x3519…1cac | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | New24 settled bets |
| sigesige0x4eae…daf1 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | New42 settled bets |
| coolboy450xb47b…0c3b | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| cherylfry0x14bf…81d1 | No | 99 | 99.8¢ | $99 | New46 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 38,510 | 0.8¢ | $96 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| corykelley0x7bde…0d30 | No | 96 | 99.8¢ | $96 | — |
| nowhereman0x449b…3b70 | Yes | 38,182 | 1.1¢ | $95 | New27 settled bets |
| chapmanhoward0x0979…b95c | No | 92 | 99.8¢ | $92 | — |
| yoyo1230xd66c…aa61 | Yes | 36,364 | 1.1¢ | $91 | — |
| Luci110xff00…374d | Yes | 31,440 | 1.2¢ | $79 | — |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 27,185 | 0.6¢ | $68 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| 0x2e88…24d1 | Yes | 26,333 | 0.3¢ | $66 | New17 settled bets |
| xtrqs0x1e5b…d4ec | Yes | 22,460 | 1.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$50.68 per $100 · 115 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 22,205 | 0.8¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| LML0xea7f…85d5 | Yes | 21,465 | 1.2¢ | $54 | — |
| Ulquiorra0x95d6…9aea | Yes | 20,000 | 1.0¢ | $50 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $48 | New41 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 18,448 | 1.3¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 15,268 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 12,900 | 0.4¢ | $32 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,599 | 0.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 12,404 | 1.5¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| pred1ctooor0x21a9…7f37 | Yes | 12,065 | 1.1¢ | $30 | New39 settled bets |
| Klo0x4241…4da7 | Yes | 10,222 | 1.2¢ | $26 | Proven+$5.17 per $100 · 443 bets |
| 0x3d3a…9226 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $25 | New14 settled bets |
| ohmygod20x4c21…e775 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.2¢ | $25 | New31 settled bets |
| Friday0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Proven+$15.18 per $100 · 2,590 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $25 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,440 | 0.6¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 9,263 | 1.2¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| 0x7795…9a17 | Yes | 8,250 | 1.3¢ | $21 | Losing−$10.65 per $100 · 121 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 6,976 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 6,694 | 0.7¢ | $17 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 6,652 | 0.7¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $16 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 6,555 | 1.1¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 5,410 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| david38910x4ab3…040e | Yes | 5,000 | 1.2¢ | $13 | New46 settled bets |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 341 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x12aa…ccd9 | Yes | 4,167 | 1.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 100 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 4,017 | 1.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.3¢ | $10 | — |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | Yes | 3,872 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,299 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.