Michelle Obama

Decided by

Whether Michelle Obama is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle who accepts.§1

Replacement nominee

Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the market's resolution.§3

Counted

The first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle who accepts.§1

Source

A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.§2

Closes

Nov 8, 2028 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 115.1¢ right now.