Market · 26 of 36 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 481 | 97.4¢ | $462 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 390 | 98.1¢ | $375 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 |
| No |
| 378 |
| 95.3¢ |
| $363 |
| New69 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 43 | 95.1¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 653 | 3.5¢ | $26 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play