Market · 25 of 36 outcomes
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 481 | 97.4¢ | $462 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 390 | 98.1¢ | $375 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 378 | 95.3¢ | $363 | New69 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 43 | 95.1¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,004 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 653 | 3.5¢ | $26 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 258 | 0.3¢ | $10 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 98 | 1.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 85 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 5.5¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 2 | 99.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 2 | 99.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| lotdunaf0x108a…c378 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| messirontig0x8c46…7eab | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 97.8¢ | $1 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 14 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.23 per $100 · 1,745 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play