Michel Barnier

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?”.

1. §1The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
2. §2This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
3. §3The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
4. §4If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
5. §5This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round.
6. §6Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
7. §7If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
8. §8This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.