Dominique de Villepin

Decided by

Whether the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election, or wins outright in the first round.§5

No runoff needed

A candidate winning outright in the first round counts as advancing, so the market resolves "Yes".§5

No election known

If no such election occurs, or first-round results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No".§7

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the French Government's Ministry of the Interior.§9

Two-round system

If no candidate gets over 50% in the first round, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.§4

Counted

The outcome of the next French presidential election, whether held at the scheduled end of the current term or earlier.§2

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Marine Le Pen 89.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 45.5¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 40.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.6¢
• Bruno Retailleau 6.6¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 6.5¢
• François Hollande 5.9¢
• Gabriel Attal 5.8¢
• Jordan Bardella 5.5¢
• Dominique de Villepin 5.5¢
• Manuel Bompard 4.8¢
• Sarah Knafo 4.7¢

24 more outcomes in this event.