Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fffff50x5799…07a4 | No | 97 | 99.9¢ | $97 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 46,261 | 0.1¢ | $23 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 13,951 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| yijnj0x4ed1…5d67 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 9,999 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| plygd0xf077…a95c | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xbd1a…5375 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 100.4¢ | $1 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,318 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9181…64ac | Yes | 1,395 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 1,279 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 1,249 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,125 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,047 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.35 per $100 · 11,119 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 570 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,719 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 551 | 5.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 538 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| Superbigote0x7460…31e8 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Celimonxx0xa6c4…78a7 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 351 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 296 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 286 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,163 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 227 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 197 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,822 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 180 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 159 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 150 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 147 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 140 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 113 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 102 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 90 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 78 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 70 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,366 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 55 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 39 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 25 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.