Market · 38 of 54 outcomes
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 8 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agarp130xf9e7…3f77 | No | 100,000 | 99.0¢ | $100K | New1 settled bet |
| KjerstinDellert0x2d1b…5adb | No | 4,127 | 99.2¢ | $4.13K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Twnness0x45b5…a438 | No | 700 | 99.2¢ | $700 | New51 settled bets |
| Poropo970xacb4…8df6 | No | 632 | 99.3¢ | $632 | New42 settled bets |
| surfacc0x5985…71de | No | 551 | 99.3¢ | $551 | New33 settled bets |
| m9yhj0x785d…88e7 | No | 515 | 99.5¢ | $515 | — |
| 9ufje0xb13c…d098 | No | 506 | 99.5¢ | $506 | — |
| kyskyskyskys0xb39b…b602 | No | 500 | 99.5¢ | $500 | New18 settled bets |
| ohabams0x4111…afe2 | No | 302 | 99.0¢ | $302 | — |
| AgustinChacarera0xcb39…9d0c | No | 302 | 99.4¢ | $302 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 557,856 | 0.6¢ | $279 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | Yes | 491,579 | 0.9¢ | $246 | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| 8ki8kk880xf61a…dd23 | No | 200 | 99.8¢ | $200 | — |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| vanss0x5b99…b62e | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | New30 settled bets |
| mikejr0x11d3…d10d | No | 177 | 99.2¢ | $177 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 317,724 | 0.3¢ | $159 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| 88jj0x41be…23a3 | No | 158 | 99.4¢ | $158 | — |
| iXtAaR0xb353…1b7a | No | 120 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| LNxSQPMT0x59d2…de0e | No | 119 | 99.4¢ | $119 | — |
| deibw0xf949…3d25 | No | 115 | 99.3¢ | $115 | — |
| SXVMgiFY0x64dc…0dda | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | $114 | — |
| EloJoe0xe6fa…23e1 | No | 112 | 99.0¢ | $112 | — |
| trysom0x087b…54fd | No | 111 | 99.2¢ | $111 | — |
| xuujs0x8196…0ef9 | No | 111 | 99.2¢ | $111 | — |
| 0x20fa0x3f65…90a4 | No | 110 | 99.1¢ | $110 | — |
| sdxKmXql0xdd37…99ae | No | 104 | 99.4¢ | $104 | — |
| heatherwilliamson0xcb1f…fc56 | No | 104 | 99.9¢ | $104 | — |
| solana1k0xc592…a588 | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $101 | — |
| fff888aaa0xc9a1…c0b6 | No | 101 | 99.4¢ | $101 | — |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| wefe12120x49f4…5f4f | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| xiaocui0x53b2…5754 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| signaturee0x6271…d24e | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| cicamica0x6870…8a17 | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $100 | — |
| professorr0x99b2…bfd5 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| 88878880xb6dc…a4a1 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| goodryan0x72bc…d707 | No | 99 | 99.8¢ | $99 | — |
| paula920xb066…9a05 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| guDFERTGG0xab3c…ab78 | No | 88 | 99.4¢ | $88 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 172,123 | 0.2¢ | $86 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| markmcdonald0xa803…6366 | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| zornithis0xd344…1bc3 | No | 81 | 99.0¢ | $81 | — |
| matthewsedward0xf4db…651e | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 116,247 | 0.5¢ | $58 | New22 settled bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | Yes | 83,675 | 1.1¢ | $42 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 80,000 | 0.4¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 69,301 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 57,474 | 0.8¢ | $29 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| tiger55100x3f2d…2adc | Yes | 53,541 | 0.4¢ | $27 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 50,128 | 0.5¢ | $25 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 35,941 | 0.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | New68 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| bryccx0xd1e0…072a | Yes | 25,000 | 0.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 22,536 | 0.5¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 21,566 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xd0d7…265a | Yes | 20,500 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| 0x52c6…9aa2 | Yes | 16,800 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| knbhun90x3f3f…ba27 | Yes | 16,800 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 16,000 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 8434G0xc01c…231f | Yes | 16,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 15,554 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xc208…e9b4 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| CVCV3340x145b…6fd8 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| CV5FCF0x7f21…f32e | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| SDGG330x7091…ef4a | Yes | 14,000 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 14,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 13,333 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 6169320x1c80…cffd | Yes | 13,200 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| ccdef330x8b6b…f644 | Yes | 13,000 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 6dfd30x6682…606f | Yes | 13,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 6321520x0597…af37 | Yes | 13,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| HDF450x077d…5730 | Yes | 12,999 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x28b2…25d6 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| DF23E4RF0x7404…0b1f | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 5SX235SD0xbbd3…6579 | Yes | 11,999 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 797sj920x414c…bcc6 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| lucky570x224b…b294 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| jason0090xb150…41af | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 9,271 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 0x9ffe…538e | Yes | 6,900 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
| polyiknow0xf2b3…6e9e | Yes | 30 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 158K shares each side · Show
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