Market · 6 of 54 outcomes
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 10 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 480,253 | 2.9¢ | $21.9K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 302,604 | 3.0¢ | $13.8K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| EdwardVera0x3437…0335 | Yes | 267,294 | 5.1¢ | $12.2K | — |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 10,000 | 95.5¢ | $9.54K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| Yoriichi770xfe20…67de | Yes | 166,244 | 3.4¢ | $7.56K | — |
| 0x0742…1b48 | Yes | 143,005 | 5.1¢ | $6.51K | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 107,331 | 0.8¢ | $4.88K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 5,000 | 96.4¢ | $4.77K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | No | 3,000 | 96.4¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | No | 3,000 | 50.0¢ | $2.86K | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,067 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 58,210 | 2.4¢ | $2.65K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Aleksaa0xcd42…a3fa | Yes | 54,278 | 4.2¢ | $2.47K | — |
| 0x1997…2e36 | No | 2,461 | 95.1¢ | $2.35K | Losing−$4.84 per $100 · 693 bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 2,372 | 97.3¢ | $2.26K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| 0x4ae6…25e1 | Yes | 48,875 | 9.2¢ | $2.22K | — |
| tryingmyluckhere0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | 47,606 | 3.2¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$14.75 per $100 · 560 bets |
| pkFire0x2617…afc5 | No | 2,199 | 95.7¢ | $2.1K | — |
| galtef10xf821…8f56 | Yes | 42,247 | 4.6¢ | $1.92K | — |
| Funfzig0x5e9c…cd75 | Yes | 39,070 | 2.6¢ | $1.78K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 1,061 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 37,960 | 0.6¢ | $1.73K | New22 settled bets |
| nedved10000x3537…cf88 | Yes | 36,351 | 5.0¢ | $1.65K | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 33,227 | 3.9¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 32,987 | 3.4¢ | $1.5K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| Fed20240xad7f…dd02 | Yes | 31,530 | 3.2¢ | $1.43K | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 30,486 | 3.6¢ | $1.39K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,253 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.36K | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,321 bets |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | Yes | 29,358 | 3.5¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 29,212 | 3.6¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | Yes | 26,349 | 3.2¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
| f0afjr0xb911…0d3e | Yes | 25,000 | 4.2¢ | $1.14K | New0 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 22,389 | 1.0¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| randomlypunting0xaec3…22df | No | 1,059 | 94.6¢ | $1.01K | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 1,379 bets |
| fkmagafkelon0xe571…0265 | Yes | 19,698 | 2.5¢ | $896 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 19,311 | 0.8¢ | $879 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 16,208 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 18,700 | 5.7¢ | $851 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 17,743 | 3.2¢ | $807 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0xc59f…59ab | Yes | 17,576 | 4.4¢ | $800 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 811 | 95.2¢ | $774 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | Yes | 16,453 | 2.8¢ | $749 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| BFBB0x5754…e515 | Yes | 15,952 | 3.8¢ | $726 | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 2,482 bets |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | No | 754 | 95.6¢ | $720 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| GUHHH0x033d…af05 | Yes | 15,627 | 4.1¢ | $711 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 15,240 | 0.7¢ | $693 | New41 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $657 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 12,698 | 0.4¢ | $578 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| Apollo260x63a7…42c6 | Yes | 12,679 | 4.8¢ | $577 | — |
| vrainic0x1205…2a4a | Yes | 12,243 | 4.3¢ | $557 | — |
| parap0xe70f…fb57 | Yes | 11,924 | 4.5¢ | $543 | — |
| JumpShepherd0xa6ab…d5e7 | Yes | 11,768 | 3.4¢ | $535 | — |
| theOceanMoon0xb2b7…2f70 | No | 500 | 96.2¢ | $477 | — |
| snoble0xa2df…d9c8 | Yes | 10,417 | 5.0¢ | $474 | — |
| WindboundTrace0x3106…51ec | No | 487 | 95.6¢ | $465 | — |
| 0x742f…9dc5 | Yes | 10,187 | 4.2¢ | $463 | — |
| Rohinverma0xcc59…cd31 | Yes | 10,125 | 5.4¢ | $461 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 10,000 | 3.6¢ | $455 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 10,000 | 4.2¢ | $455 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| dasadsasd30x9dd6…ad7b | No | 420 | 97.0¢ | $401 | — |
| White.Monster0xb27b…17d6 | Yes | 8,787 | 2.8¢ | $400 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 208 bets |
| wiok0x4334…e6f2 | No | 400 | 97.4¢ | $382 | — |
| briar26820xe944…0837 | No | 400 | 95.3¢ | $382 | — |
| tianangel0xf03c…3d34 | Yes | 8,362 | 4.2¢ | $380 | — |
| Insider20240x319d…2538 | Yes | 8,119 | 4.2¢ | $369 | New39 settled bets |
| SoftMotionFox0x1f32…7bce | No | 373 | 95.5¢ | $356 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 7,486 | 4.6¢ | $341 | Losing−$17.27 per $100 · 7,271 bets |
| striderincity0x260d…fbc2 | No | 340 | 96.9¢ | $325 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 681 bets |
| MossLeafCourier0x32ab…3555 | No | 338 | 95.6¢ | $323 | — |
| zPmHqL6T980x2d63…77dc | No | 338 | 95.5¢ | $323 | — |
| dabsads0xa5fb…27b2 | No | 330 | 96.2¢ | $315 | — |
| cvdsfgrdfytrnggv0x7e78…de47 | No | 311 | 96.6¢ | $297 | — |
| vietnam-n10x45d0…30d9 | No | 300 | 95.5¢ | $286 | Break-even+$0.64 per $100 · 193 bets |
| wddsax69660xb02f…a77e | No | 300 | 50.0¢ | $286 | — |
| dfsfsdfs40x3d6b…1a62 | No | 230 | 97.0¢ | $220 | — |
| Zacharyvv0x0fc3…4afc | No | 222 | 96.6¢ | $212 | — |
| YLp5qR7JwTX0x59cd…e939 | No | 219 | 95.4¢ | $209 | — |
| watermeloncrew0xcfc8…7d7d | No | 215 | 96.7¢ | $205 | — |
| 0x5f50…24e9 | No | 212 | 96.0¢ | $202 | — |
| HomerS0x37dc…0b52 | No | 210 | 95.5¢ | $201 | — |
| Richard21210x8a53…6f06 | No | 207 | 96.6¢ | $198 | — |
| WarmStoneRunner0xd100…3960 | No | 205 | 95.6¢ | $196 | New87 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 203 | 96.9¢ | $193 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| nordicpilsener0x7cc8…5429 | No | 195 | 97.0¢ | $186 | — |
| HarborCrossLight0x834a…7a20 | No | 171 | 95.5¢ | $163 | New76 settled bets |
| 0xebf0…247e | No | 144 | 97.0¢ | $138 | — |
| solana-ebir0x0fb9…f178 | No | 116 | 95.5¢ | $111 | — |
| 0x8a97…0440 | No | 110 | 95.7¢ | $105 | — |
| tvampire0x16d4…c2c5 | No | 108 | 93.2¢ | $103 | — |
| mpartialbedrock0x2f8a…f086 | No | 108 | 93.3¢ | $103 | — |
| singer0xd4d8…76a7 | No | 15 | 51.2¢ | $14 | — |
10 accounts bet both sides equally · 47.4K shares each side · Show
|