Market · 4 of 71 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 357 | 79.3¢ | $273 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 243 | 52.9¢ | $186 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 613 | 23.5¢ | $144 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 102 | 70.2¢ | $78 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 137 | 28.9¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 40 | 81.9¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 12 | 67.0¢ | $9 | — |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 7 | 90.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 2 | 89.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| uyn0j3vtvru70x6677…801b | Yes | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x74d6…02a1 | Yes | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 3 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | No | 1 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 13.1¢ | $0 | — |
| POB10xb431…82ec | No | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 68.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ShallowDitch0x953a…624c | Yes | 0 | 79.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 0 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 31.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 13.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 20.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play