Market · 40 of 53 outcomes
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 1,016,027 | 0.1¢ | $1.52K | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 629,658 | 0.6¢ | $944 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 132,644 | 0.7¢ | $199 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,244 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 112,830 | 0.7¢ | $169 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 106,550 | 0.4¢ | $160 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $150 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $150 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 93,080 | 0.8¢ | $140 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 80,000 | 0.1¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| raytina0x587b…e775 | No | 101 | 99.9¢ | $101 | — |
| rneal0xb328…de85 | No | 99 | 99.9¢ | $99 | — |
| richardhorton0xf47e…4140 | No | 98 | 99.9¢ | $98 | — |
| jwyatt0xc3a1…c8e1 | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| liuaustin0x6aac…b883 | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | — |
| briggstiffany0xf009…5196 | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| matthewroberts0x2757…b41d | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| solomondeborah0x2510…1845 | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| michealgeorge0x6fd1…6935 | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.2¢ | $75 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| pruittolivia0xc0a0…bd71 | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 45,000 | 0.4¢ | $68 | — |
| arroyojack0x3a5a…b259 | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| jeffery360xe003…0760 | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| stevendickson0xfcaa…7be5 | No | 64 | 99.9¢ | $64 | — |
| tina900xb4cf…d8ce | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | — |
| ucastillo0x1825…8695 | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| smithnorman0xf53a…024f | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 35,337 | 0.8¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| Prexpect0xa59c…bb62 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.4¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 4,078 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | — |
| lmichael0xc6cc…179c | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.5¢ | $38 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 23,500 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 20,338 | 0.0¢ | $31 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 19,849 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $23 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,750 | 0.6¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,859 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 12,250 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,346 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 10,150 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| lucky260x03ef…93f7 | Yes | 10,119 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| zhaoqianyi660x11f3…569d | Yes | 10,100 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| malisa0x5e20…6c61 | Yes | 10,010 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| like88620x3210…9afb | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| ruixiang60x9604…526c | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| YUKI660xa468…7543 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| jellyf0xf549…34d7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 7,500 | 0.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 7,110 | 0.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 6,130 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,001 | 0.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| 2520x224b…f6b8 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| Kolavrat0xc4ea…4169 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| juyrj0x02a9…c9af | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DonaldGreene7260xfda0…3fa5 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| JDKFJKFJF0x8ae2…e269 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Terry45610x7215…7301 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| EricLeonard510x0c59…28fd | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Korobochka0x949f…cf94 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.