Market · 7 of 54 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6e82…752c | Yes | 227,176 | 3.5¢ | $7.16K | Proven+$8.24 per $100 · 1,613 bets |
| BabyKangroo0xe3ae…440e | Yes | 184,687 | 2.1¢ | $5.82K | Proven+$4.11 per $100 · 131 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 5,333 | 95.6¢ | $5.17K | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,298 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 146,686 | 1.4¢ | $4.62K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| iamgoooood0xcab5…21af | Yes | 142,917 | 2.9¢ | $4.5K | — |
| NAH7770x7762…8a01 | Yes | 128,414 | 3.5¢ | $4.05K | New30 settled bets |
| MyDadsMoney0x3d18…1160 | Yes | 126,266 | 2.2¢ | $3.98K | New62 settled bets |
| schlomosgoy0x6e2d…6130 | Yes | 106,295 | 2.0¢ | $3.35K | New39 settled bets |
| rekt-prediction0xf97e…0034 | Yes | 105,497 | 3.4¢ | $3.32K | New14 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 101,418 | 2.7¢ | $3.19K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 101,020 | 2.5¢ | $3.18K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| NVH010x12bc…d735 | Yes | 94,308 | 2.6¢ | $2.97K | New22 settled bets |
| fuc.your.mother0x76cf…9452 | Yes | 87,993 | 3.1¢ | $2.77K | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 138 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 85,000 | 0.8¢ | $2.68K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 81,975 | 0.6¢ | $2.58K | New22 settled bets |
| ClarkPeters0x8410…d4ec | Yes | 80,000 | 3.3¢ | $2.52K | Losing−$14.38 per $100 · 104 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 61,016 | 2.5¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0x9f0c…749b | Yes | 52,692 | 3.1¢ | $1.66K | — |
| EducatedGuess694200xed49…8783 | Yes | 51,775 | 2.8¢ | $1.63K | New84 settled bets |
| Insider20240x319d…2538 | Yes | 51,360 | 2.4¢ | $1.62K | New39 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 42,941 | 1.9¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| WALLYFIGHTS0x445e…9be0 | No | 1,200 | 50.0¢ | $1.16K | Losing−$3.59 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| ZumbaGirl0x2e67…731d | No | 1,189 | 97.2¢ | $1.15K | New24 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 34,258 | 0.8¢ | $1.08K | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,308 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 31,281 | 2.4¢ | $985 | New66 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 31,007 | 1.3¢ | $977 | New41 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $945 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| rose3e3e30x181c…a392 | Yes | 28,487 | 3.5¢ | $897 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 22,354 | 1.1¢ | $704 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| hotcatcat0x3eca…ab82 | No | 700 | 97.2¢ | $678 | New74 settled bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 20,444 | 2.7¢ | $644 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,267 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 20,328 | 2.6¢ | $640 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 746 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 20,000 | 3.0¢ | $630 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $455 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x9cf6…b300 | Yes | 14,069 | 2.1¢ | $443 | — |
| valueorbubble0x6453…5553 | Yes | 13,700 | 3.2¢ | $432 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 138 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $420 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| BrodyOPUR0xa53d…cfbf | No | 430 | 50.0¢ | $416 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 12,402 | 2.6¢ | $391 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Anononono0x1966…25c0 | Yes | 12,124 | 2.9¢ | $382 | Losing−$1.00 per $100 · 607 bets |
| 56478746760x1a5b…c70e | No | 340 | 97.2¢ | $329 | New21 settled bets |
| MPIL0xfc08…6be7 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.9¢ | $315 | New82 settled bets |
| MeltersFTW0xc3ce…f646 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.2¢ | $315 | Proven+$5.85 per $100 · 205 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 10,000 | 2.8¢ | $315 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| cmidujwd2930xb4a4…dc8f | Yes | 10,000 | 2.5¢ | $315 | — |
| 9400x130f…6e99 | Yes | 9,996 | 1.7¢ | $315 | Losing−$2.75 per $100 · 339 bets |
| 0x0a47…aa4e | Yes | 9,666 | 2.6¢ | $304 | New1 settled bet |
| Contraposition0xddad…c3da | Yes | 8,000 | 2.1¢ | $252 | — |
| depthpiRate0xb790…2c39 | No | 257 | 97.4¢ | $249 | — |
| Gogamagoga990x0cf1…c685 | No | 231 | 97.4¢ | $224 | New24 settled bets |
| endgamelife0xc986…a34b | Yes | 7,010 | 3.3¢ | $221 | — |
| 0xaa06…1e0f | Yes | 6,654 | 3.0¢ | $210 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 1,046 bets |
| 0x6a40…c93f | Yes | 5,263 | 1.9¢ | $166 | Proven+$4.78 per $100 · 910 bets |
| Schmuckbenny0x6c1b…c347 | Yes | 5,200 | 2.4¢ | $164 | New0 settled bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 5,100 | 0.7¢ | $161 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 5,092 | 0.8¢ | $160 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 5,018 | 2.2¢ | $158 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $158 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| 0x65f0…2468 | No | 127 | 97.1¢ | $123 | New21 settled bets |
| CossackBOY0x5f9b…392c | No | 108 | 97.4¢ | $105 | New28 settled bets |
| Ssxde0x7a03…c2db | No | 100 | 95.7¢ | $97 | New42 settled bets |
| Chrome604Thief0x1527…6cb1 | No | 91 | 96.3¢ | $88 | New93 settled bets |
| jqwef340xc86c…19b3 | No | 88 | 96.7¢ | $85 | — |
| 798banka0xc65f…38dd | No | 77 | 97.2¢ | $75 | — |
| Koreanmll0x10eb…1823 | No | 75 | 97.2¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 106 bets |
| vanqi2230x6f62…5180 | No | 72 | 96.8¢ | $70 | New83 settled bets |
| kebabmaster220x1aa8…018b | No | 63 | 97.0¢ | $61 | New34 settled bets |
| lilahihikovna0xc06d…6670 | No | 62 | 97.5¢ | $60 | — |
| vodkaenjoyer0xc233…3d55 | No | 61 | 97.0¢ | $59 | — |
| TitanYa0xeb68…af1d | No | 58 | 98.2¢ | $56 | — |
| dalmnevrot0xd3ed…2fef | No | 57 | 97.0¢ | $56 | — |
| heiya0x2416…5e55 | No | 57 | 97.1¢ | $55 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 137 bets |
| mazik07340xfb17…abeb | No | 50 | 97.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Brazilsmart0x0647…afe3 | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | $48 | New4 settled bets |
| Natusya0x594c…c680 | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | New4 settled bets |
| tolyanbazis0x63db…4401 | No | 50 | 97.4¢ | $48 | New18 settled bets |
| NolanParke744990x6be8…8df9 | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | $48 | New22 settled bets |
| Kuznecov0x9136…0322 | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | — |
| Alfredis0xea87…286e | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | $48 | — |
| GideonHirthe0x5b52…0db4 | No | 48 | 97.5¢ | $47 | New11 settled bets |
| wisest-screed0xbd54…19b1 | No | 47 | 98.0¢ | $46 | — |
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | No | 41 | 97.1¢ | $40 | New13 settled bets |
| 0x1a1b…a6dc | No | 41 | 97.9¢ | $40 | New9 settled bets |
| zxdr0x005b…7623 | No | 38 | 97.6¢ | $37 | New13 settled bets |
| CHERYAT0xa536…0a97 | No | 37 | 95.7¢ | $35 | — |
| AnnaWindsor0x42b8…73e4 | No | 35 | 97.2¢ | $34 | New12 settled bets |
| matvey12667940x233a…5fd2 | No | 35 | 97.8¢ | $34 | New18 settled bets |
| 0xc2e2…40d9 | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $33 | — |
12 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.19K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.