Market · 5 of 53 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 14 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 296,646 | 4.0¢ | $17.7K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| orangeapplejuice0x45b6…676f | Yes | 214,807 | 3.9¢ | $12.8K | New49 settled bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | No | 12,000 | 94.2¢ | $11.3K | Positive+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 173,644 | 6.0¢ | $10.3K | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 746 bets |
| dsdfsfds0xc28f…ffed | Yes | 159,583 | 5.3¢ | $9.5K | — |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 158,448 | 4.8¢ | $9.43K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| fuc.your.mother0x76cf…9452 | Yes | 156,784 | 5.2¢ | $9.33K | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 138 bets |
| rekt-prediction0xf97e…0034 | Yes | 151,379 | 5.9¢ | $9.01K | New14 settled bets |
| titanfish0x89a4…81de | Yes | 143,574 | 4.9¢ | $8.54K | — |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 139,336 | 4.1¢ | $8.29K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| frenchlaundry0x1c3c…1b01 | Yes | 130,261 | 4.7¢ | $7.75K | New91 settled bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | Yes | 106,708 | 5.3¢ | $6.35K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| 0x9f0c…749b | Yes | 100,801 | 6.4¢ | $6K | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 92,370 | 2.1¢ | $5.5K | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| EducatedGuess694200xed49…8783 | Yes | 88,099 | 5.7¢ | $5.24K | New84 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 77,853 | 0.8¢ | $4.63K | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,333 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 56,849 | 0.4¢ | $3.38K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| fsx450x133b…2f22 | Yes | 49,938 | 3.8¢ | $2.97K | Proven+$4.97 per $100 · 403 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 40,000 | 4.9¢ | $2.38K | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 4,515 bets |
| Mantronix0x073a…91e7 | Yes | 32,269 | 3.9¢ | $1.92K | Break-even−$0.09 per $100 · 171 bets |
| RBax0x4366…c73e | Yes | 29,099 | 5.0¢ | $1.73K | Proven+$11.29 per $100 · 548 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 25,702 | 5.9¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 22,613 | 0.0¢ | $1.35K | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| ratrace0xb962…33d8 | Yes | 21,411 | 4.3¢ | $1.27K | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 20,802 | 4.6¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 20,499 | 35.0¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 20,100 | 2.9¢ | $1.2K | — |
| MPIL0xfc08…6be7 | Yes | 20,000 | 4.4¢ | $1.19K | New82 settled bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 20,000 | 4.2¢ | $1.19K | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 19,333 | 5.2¢ | $1.15K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| ABCDEF10xa00c…7883 | Yes | 17,884 | 5.1¢ | $1.06K | New9 settled bets |
| silverstar0x9810…74ba | Yes | 17,850 | 4.6¢ | $1.06K | — |
| PhoenixDrifter0xab12…3bd6 | No | 1,098 | 94.3¢ | $1.03K | — |
| 0x518e…d640 | No | 1,025 | 94.8¢ | $964 | New7 settled bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 15,023 | 5.5¢ | $894 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 15,000 | 4.1¢ | $892 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,480 | 1.1¢ | $862 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 884 | 94.2¢ | $831 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 0x3201…58a7 | No | 853 | 95.4¢ | $803 | New8 settled bets |
| mini-man0xc902…cd14 | Yes | 13,108 | 32.2¢ | $780 | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 225 bets |
| 0xd9e7…e54d | No | 829 | 94.0¢ | $780 | — |
| 0x2099…d315 | No | 804 | 94.8¢ | $756 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x84f3…90bd | No | 776 | 94.7¢ | $730 | — |
| scrapbook0x414b…0d3f | Yes | 12,000 | 4.6¢ | $714 | Losing−$4.25 per $100 · 380 bets |
| 0x0d1b…6849 | No | 746 | 94.8¢ | $701 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x8be7…72eb | No | 737 | 93.7¢ | $693 | — |
| 0x365a…799f | No | 735 | 94.0¢ | $691 | New25 settled bets |
| 0x5b5c…e1c3 | No | 726 | 94.2¢ | $683 | New7 settled bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 11,472 | 4.2¢ | $683 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xc732…006d | No | 711 | 96.2¢ | $668 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 680 | 95.7¢ | $639 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0xf0ec…d22f | No | 664 | 96.2¢ | $624 | — |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 10,455 | 3.4¢ | $622 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 6,893 bets |
| VdeVirtud0x05dd…e2af | Yes | 10,301 | 5.1¢ | $613 | Losing−$3.03 per $100 · 1,191 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 10,000 | 4.9¢ | $595 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| Anointed-Connect0x8f03…64d6 | Yes | 10,000 | 4.1¢ | $595 | Proven+$2.49 per $100 · 2,107 bets |
| 0xff92…b971 | No | 621 | 95.9¢ | $584 | — |
| 0x4483…c565 | Yes | 9,817 | 5.2¢ | $584 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 1,457 bets |
| Egmp0xbddd…4887 | Yes | 9,722 | 3.6¢ | $578 | — |
| 0x6782…4ce6 | No | 608 | 94.1¢ | $571 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x08ca…8c93 | No | 607 | 95.8¢ | $571 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x6c28…a922 | No | 594 | 96.0¢ | $559 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xe81e…63ff | No | 572 | 96.3¢ | $538 | — |
| 0xe370…2621 | No | 563 | 93.7¢ | $529 | — |
| 0x78c5…581b | No | 554 | 95.1¢ | $521 | New1 settled bet |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 8,731 | 4.2¢ | $519 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0x5e12…106b | No | 550 | 94.7¢ | $517 | New2 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 8,633 | 4.2¢ | $514 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,417 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 8,591 | 3.7¢ | $511 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 8,537 | 4.1¢ | $508 | New6 settled bets |
| 0xdb31…c0a3 | No | 523 | 94.8¢ | $492 | — |
| 0xd099…11f4 | No | 491 | 93.8¢ | $462 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,630 | 0.4¢ | $454 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 7,541 | 5.4¢ | $449 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| Pemulis0xeeed…2fc4 | Yes | 7,450 | 4.0¢ | $443 | — |
| 0xb6a3…467f | No | 431 | 95.9¢ | $406 | — |
| 0x5ada…aa68 | No | 418 | 94.5¢ | $393 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x1cc7…4c35 | No | 410 | 96.3¢ | $386 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x5b83…388f | No | 402 | 93.7¢ | $378 | New6 settled bets |
| 0xa579…e737 | No | 392 | 94.3¢ | $368 | — |
| Sophiayu0xb566…bf44 | No | 374 | 95.5¢ | $352 | — |
| h0tt100xbde7…cf8a | No | 368 | 95.2¢ | $346 | — |
| SophiGGHH0x6bda…8b9f | No | 366 | 95.5¢ | $344 | New8 settled bets |
| 0xd8c8…dcf6 | No | 365 | 94.7¢ | $343 | — |
| 0x4312…e301 | No | 364 | 94.8¢ | $343 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x5c31…657d | No | 329 | 93.8¢ | $309 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x9ac1…9bc2 | No | 309 | 95.4¢ | $291 | — |
| 0x4bf7…4b2e | No | 303 | 96.1¢ | $285 | New5 settled bets |
| 0xd0fb…7452 | No | 298 | 96.0¢ | $280 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 294 | 94.3¢ | $277 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,308 bets |
| 0xedeb…4142 | No | 284 | 93.9¢ | $267 | — |
| 0xdad4…1535 | No | 14 | 95.3¢ | $14 | — |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 148 | 6.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| 0x3a5d…ac50 | Yes | 111 | 6.5¢ | $7 | New10 settled bets |
| 0xffb3…6cb7 | Yes | 92 | 5.6¢ | $5 | — |
5 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.78K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.