Market · 22 of 71 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 130 | 62.1¢ | $85 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 156 | 31.8¢ | $54 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 150 | 33.0¢ | $52 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No | 65 | 68.7¢ | $42 | — |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | No | 50 | 87.0¢ | $33 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 41 | 85.2¢ | $27 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | No | 40 | 70.0¢ | $26 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 40 | 43.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 68.0¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $13 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 20 | 75.8¢ | $13 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 13.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 56.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 36.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 86.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 4 | 69.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 4 | 56.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | No | 3 | 42.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 3 | 54.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | No | 2 | 46.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 2 | 35.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | No | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 1 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | Yes | 0 | 24.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 2,228 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 76.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play