Market · 16 of 53 outcomes
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 7 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novice990x9df5…61e1 | Yes | 1,587,875 | 2.2¢ | $15.1K | New9 settled bets |
| dmwarner0x6207…5259 | Yes | 380,960 | 1.7¢ | $3.62K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| boomdeyada0xe0a6…481d | Yes | 143,095 | 1.0¢ | $1.36K | — |
| 0x7b5c…4960 | Yes | 100,000 | 2.3¢ | $950 | New36 settled bets |
| ijnvg0xe57c…f7f8 | Yes | 98,363 | 2.2¢ | $934 | New0 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 91,420 | 2.0¢ | $868 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| Goat85240xf861…681f | Yes | 87,542 | 0.9¢ | $832 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 72,694 | 0.4¢ | $691 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| epistemic0x835b…118f | Yes | 47,899 | 1.6¢ | $455 | Losing−$4.69 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 43,979 | 0.7¢ | $418 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 38,612 | 1.3¢ | $367 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.5¢ | $285 | Positive+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 29,400 | 0.2¢ | $279 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 26,603 | 1.0¢ | $253 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| arham3600x463c…3420 | Yes | 25,921 | 0.7¢ | $246 | New3 settled bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 20,443 | 1.4¢ | $194 | — |
| BasedJonStewart0xc094…97a1 | Yes | 20,396 | 2.5¢ | $194 | Proven+$12.90 per $100 · 192 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $183 | New41 settled bets |
| GBA0x3ee1…05e6 | Yes | 17,913 | 1.3¢ | $170 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 17,391 | 2.3¢ | $165 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| toomy0x4d90…e0be | No | 160 | 99.7¢ | $158 | New58 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16,241 | 1.8¢ | $154 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| thebug440xde7c…c933 | Yes | 13,195 | 0.5¢ | $125 | Positive+$25.31 per $100 · 150 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,080 | 0.8¢ | $115 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| Zap0xa67a…65f0 | Yes | 11,996 | 1.2¢ | $114 | — |
| Krolik.one0x1400…6d0c | Yes | 10,253 | 1.1¢ | $97 | New3 settled bets |
| taa0x66b2…5ab6 | Yes | 9,648 | 1.4¢ | $92 | New10 settled bets |
| lkinfj0xd438…e0f8 | No | 86 | 98.3¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,501 | 0.4¢ | $71 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| cmsdju690xc9ba…a92e | No | 72 | 99.1¢ | $71 | — |
| chrizdard340x7bc4…e0cb | No | 67 | 96.4¢ | $67 | New72 settled bets |
| moument0xd4d2…d540 | No | 67 | 98.8¢ | $66 | — |
| BreakEven0x5838…367c | Yes | 6,842 | 1.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$2.55 per $100 · 782 bets |
| Qlerto0x4fb7…76af | No | 63 | 97.8¢ | $63 | New56 settled bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $63 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| ppcosix0xd66c…4d03 | No | 61 | 99.1¢ | $60 | — |
| zhudi0xc3ea…ae3f | No | 61 | 98.8¢ | $60 | — |
| DADD0x871c…c11b | No | 60 | 98.5¢ | $59 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 6,098 | 0.7¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| cult120x1d02…d5da | No | 57 | 96.5¢ | $56 | New75 settled bets |
| Hardy0xbacc…a131 | No | 56 | 52.7¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x6a90…c9d3 | Yes | 5,762 | 0.9¢ | $55 | New2 settled bets |
| Magis0x24d9…087b | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $53 | New38 settled bets |
| bloodmoney640x9cb7…d9b8 | Yes | 5,500 | 1.8¢ | $52 | — |
| Gutume0xc43b…d145 | No | 52 | 99.3¢ | $52 | — |
| pmlpMail0xcbf0…0536 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| KolyaBich0x6375…7b4c | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | New16 settled bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| lifesocoll0x9f0e…7a39 | No | 50 | 99.0¢ | $50 | — |
| mascarpone365020xe168…0f95 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| arnri0xeeab…3516 | Yes | 5,065 | 2.1¢ | $48 | New37 settled bets |
| charlito110x9bd5…57ac | Yes | 5,000 | 2.3¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xfd10…5378 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $48 | — |
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $47 | New68 settled bets |
| DJMD0xc8e3…ed51 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $47 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 4,735 | 0.8¢ | $45 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| hgfhdy0x84f6…8082 | No | 43 | 99.6¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x6007…6bea | No | 41 | 97.9¢ | $40 | New9 settled bets |
| Asredgghf70x15e8…6d07 | Yes | 4,182 | 50.0¢ | $40 | New21 settled bets |
| 77ghjhjk0x19df…4404 | Yes | 4,167 | 1.2¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| gfdjdjy0x1067…aff2 | No | 39 | 99.4¢ | $39 | New30 settled bets |
| 0xfb48…6b1a | No | 36 | 97.8¢ | $35 | — |
| dalong120xa3a6…ac15 | No | 36 | 98.8¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xa859…48b9 | Yes | 3,514 | 2.8¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xf372…2427 | No | 33 | 97.9¢ | $33 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $32 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| 0x50df…400c | No | 32 | 97.9¢ | $32 | New8 settled bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $31 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x14ae…bba3 | No | 31 | 97.8¢ | $30 | New44 settled bets |
| 0x89e5…b6b7 | No | 30 | 97.8¢ | $30 | — |
| SaraAscari0xe9f6…4fa0 | No | 30 | 98.5¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xe113…7910 | No | 28 | 98.0¢ | $28 | — |
| ibn13370xd6fb…ff10 | Yes | 2,778 | 0.9¢ | $26 | — |
| qibajiu0x21b3…c692 | No | 26 | 98.4¢ | $26 | New13 settled bets |
| lethalcheese0x4f4f…2a03 | Yes | 2,750 | 1.1¢ | $26 | Losing−$42.29 per $100 · 113 bets |
| mdsdm0xde09…ee91 | Yes | 2,700 | 0.6¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x2be8…cb21 | Yes | 2,679 | 1.1¢ | $25 | New45 settled bets |
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | Yes | 2,652 | 1.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| 34554RE0xd221…704f | No | 24 | 97.9¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xfc61…8503 | No | 23 | 97.8¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x810f…e2cd | No | 21 | 99.3¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.28 per $100 · 139 bets |
| hhjgdcvsf0xf27b…2eb1 | No | 20 | 97.9¢ | $20 | — |
| AzzurraRinaldi0x3967…b045 | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | New25 settled bets |
| BiancaBergamini0x429a…507a | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | New24 settled bets |
| RebeccaCuoghi0xa626…7a39 | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | — |
| MartinaVecchi0xe046…17ef | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | — |
| MiriamMontanari0x4c3f…b227 | No | 20 | 98.5¢ | $20 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x561c…a285 | No | 20 | 98.6¢ | $20 | New21 settled bets |
| accrete0x1dd9…21cc | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 115 bets |
| IsabelRighi0x5553…b28a | No | 20 | 98.5¢ | $20 | New28 settled bets |
| JulianJulian0x40cf…dd00 | No | 20 | 97.8¢ | $19 | New10 settled bets |
7 accounts bet both sides equally · 377K shares each side · Show
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