Market · 32 of 43 outcomes
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 440,711 | 0.7¢ | $661 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 319,000 | 0.4¢ | $479 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 303,649 | 0.4¢ | $455 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 176,182 | 0.4¢ | $264 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 121,168 | 0.1¢ | $182 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 121,130 | 0.7¢ | $182 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 98,918 | 0.1¢ | $148 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 88,248 | 0.5¢ | $132 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 86,140 | 0.8¢ | $129 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| ConCaMap880xda4a…2184 | Yes | 84,000 | 0.2¢ | $126 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 72,425 | 0.1¢ | $109 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 67,401 | 0.7¢ | $101 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| evanserin0x3a87…b89c | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| keith160xc8ac…5982 | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| samantharich0xbf58…ab38 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| caldwellkristin0xb08b…7ce7 | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| javierkelly0xdd4d…1eca | No | 83 | 99.9¢ | $83 | — |
| patricklopez0xe775…3e26 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| gutierrezalexander0xa43d…46ea | No | 81 | 99.9¢ | $81 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.2¢ | $75 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| pauldouglas0x89d5…f22e | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 49,340 | 0.7¢ | $74 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kelsey350x645b…0c01 | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| jasonlawson0x8d82…4994 | No | 67 | 99.9¢ | $67 | — |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x0fea…97f3 | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| nwall0x561a…793a | No | 53 | 99.9¢ | $53 | — |
| christinediaz0x415c…f3ec | No | 47 | 99.9¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 7G-MAN0x6c97…988c | Yes | 28,778 | 0.0¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| 0x36f8…dd6a | Yes | 25,000 | 0.2¢ | $38 | New59 settled bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $34 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| 266c0x5ec3…2815 | No | 31 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 20,174 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0xeb6d…54ec | No | 29 | 99.9¢ | $29 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| dodged-a-bullet0xc288…3480 | Yes | 14,500 | 0.5¢ | $22 | Positive+$5.97 per $100 · 1,683 bets |
| 72ea0x4094…c738 | No | 19 | 0.0¢ | $19 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 12,551 | 0.0¢ | $19 | New0 settled bets |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.4¢ | $16 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| longduan0xe3ad…bb58 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,898 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,041 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 7,854 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 7,450 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0x305d…a0df | Yes | 7,093 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 5,870 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,671 | 0.6¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| rillsoapsters0x458f…3036 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | Yes | 5,580 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 5,485 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| waterfall00x67bc…d54e | Yes | 5,066 | 0.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 2,474 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$29.82 per $100 · 550 bets |
| JeanCook3010x2b6a…75f5 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 4,137 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 3,649 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 3,330 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 59,740 bets |
| eggtopia0xf6af…0bb4 | No | 5 | 91.1¢ | $5 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| Alex215120xcdef…de52 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ghjkuhg230x92db…0452 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ghjjkjkjh0x2c2b…45c1 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| EricMason8560xcfa3…98bf | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| LaurenMcGee3100x9e6e…82e7 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| dingidongi00090xeb58…9843 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Melissa84320x1036…bcfc | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Betty30930xf87f…25c6 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.