Market · 43 of 53 outcomes
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 510,008 | 0.1¢ | $255 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 500,000 | 0.2¢ | $250 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | 441,086 | 1.0¢ | $221 | — |
| MarenFall0x70f3…e383 | No | 220 | 99.2¢ | $220 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 196,204 | 0.6¢ | $98 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 175,700 | 0.9¢ | $88 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| SSSSSSSKKK0x79ed…0de6 | Yes | 171,856 | 0.9¢ | $86 | — |
| qsantiago0xa5df…c0de | No | 71 | 99.7¢ | $71 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 136,663 | 0.7¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| buj10x9223…50ee | No | 66 | 99.0¢ | $66 | — |
| Oputra0xf5b9…32b3 | No | 66 | 99.1¢ | $66 | — |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 123,834 | 1.0¢ | $62 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| bujanek20x86d8…11e9 | No | 56 | 98.9¢ | $56 | — |
| huragganruandnsn0x1cfd…9f97 | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $56 | — |
| junkis2kamon0x713e…6716 | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $56 | — |
| 0x73a8…a827 | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $56 | — |
| ilumind12340x8ffa…86c8 | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $56 | — |
| json2po30x928d…a022 | No | 56 | 99.0¢ | $56 | — |
| mabook0xbd67…8f09 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| Kubera0xb1e0…3212 | No | 52 | 99.0¢ | $51 | — |
| poll990x96f6…a92c | No | 51 | 99.0¢ | $51 | — |
| polwally40xf28f…0327 | No | 51 | 98.8¢ | $51 | — |
| tupakce0xf702…2851 | No | 51 | 99.0¢ | $51 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 99,999 | 0.4¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 63008150x8461…4f42 | No | 43 | 99.2¢ | $43 | — |
| AdeleMorselli0x9213…0db7 | No | 40 | 99.1¢ | $40 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 79,661 | 1.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 79,033 | 0.7¢ | $40 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 78,327 | 0.4¢ | $39 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| ntaken0xa8a1…e352 | No | 37 | 99.2¢ | $37 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 73,000 | 0.6¢ | $37 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| 247yeah0x15de…2db3 | No | 36 | 99.1¢ | $36 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 35 | 98.7¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| kbishop0xb2bf…297b | No | 31 | 99.9¢ | $31 | — |
| colboy0x304c…b486 | No | 28 | 99.0¢ | $28 | — |
| holdatt0x0716…c3f0 | No | 25 | 98.9¢ | $25 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 50b1581b0x6287…a943 | No | 25 | 99.2¢ | $25 | New68 settled bets |
| wilsonvickie0x4f90…9d85 | No | 22 | 99.2¢ | $22 | — |
| RebeccaRossi0x9307…834c | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| fdghv0xc3c6…c5ad | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| MargheritaMalagoli0xfd48…e4c6 | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| JoelBoel770x109e…73f0 | No | 19 | 99.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x8e81…db81 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x8e1b…766c | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 30,000 | 1.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| williamslori0xee06…ec88 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x71d7…0d71 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| ynfgthr0x3ee0…f0a7 | No | 14 | 50.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x04cb…9de5 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xf55c…15e0 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xf986…eb9d | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x497a…c8e5 | No | 13 | 98.9¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x2d80…7fb3 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| k6690x05ba…d38c | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 24,998 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| 0x9f29…6ce8 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xe8e3…461e | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x0216…3db0 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x58eb…cd6b | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x5649…e52e | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| NatalieZhao0xa7cb…0d81 | No | 12 | 99.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xc761…ad4e | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x6750…ab91 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Tellsa0x6c0c…91b9 | No | 11 | 99.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x52c8…ab88 | Yes | 17,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| neymar10xf93f…f94b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.41 per $100 · 1,173 bets |
| 0x1fae…9038 | Yes | 14,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x0928…09fa | Yes | 13,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 12,354 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,303 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0xa8b2…5249 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 000088880x8948…28d5 | Yes | 10,200 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x869a…bd64 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 2498an0n0x6e7e…2a50 | Yes | 8,333 | 1.2¢ | $4 | New27 settled bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| Aldo11110x168f…9bcf | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4bd4…91ab | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 4,551 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,307 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,278 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Ruble-9570x1918…363d | Yes | 3,584 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,440 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 3,361 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $2 | New65 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 2,222 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| 0x4737…0272 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7e23…cfd1 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 31 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.