Market · 31 of 53 outcomes
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tdrhrhhd0xd7f8…89e4 | Yes | 999,997 | 0.7¢ | $1.5K | New68 settled bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 648,303 | 0.7¢ | $972 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| ghfjnfgjkgk0x22b0…14b3 | Yes | 546,390 | 0.7¢ | $820 | — |
| dmwarner0x6207…5259 | Yes | 219,760 | 0.6¢ | $330 | — |
| pcobb0x4266…fbb0 | No | 210 | 99.9¢ | $210 | — |
| Usabrazilian0xef99…fb36 | Yes | 115,235 | 0.8¢ | $173 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 83,872 | 0.4¢ | $126 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| vernongray0x580f…b2d6 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| kclayton0xb0a8…3850 | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 54,849 | 0.4¢ | $82 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| 0x80f1…d6a5 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 53,344 | 0.1¢ | $80 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| bishoperic0xd8f6…c32d | No | 79 | 99.9¢ | $79 | — |
| devinjackson0x51b1…37d5 | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 50,916 | 0.3¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| raltheron20xb844…f778 | No | 62 | 99.3¢ | $62 | — |
| richardsmichelle0xbc4d…619a | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | — |
| jacksonlawrence0x8a30…5a0f | No | 57 | 99.9¢ | $57 | — |
| 4mePLS0x76a6…e70a | No | 55 | 99.1¢ | $55 | — |
| qurtyn12dda230x6415…4664 | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| rumsztyk0xfe24…80c9 | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| pnewton0xfc5e…57d6 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| vlopez0x981c…50e8 | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| christianmelton0xe890…f4f1 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| loweryrobert0xee30…d86c | No | 48 | 99.9¢ | $48 | — |
| 38dac0xa828…624b | No | 46 | 99.4¢ | $46 | — |
| e3b80x974d…1c2b | No | 46 | 99.3¢ | $46 | — |
| davidfrank0xb61b…b2f2 | No | 42 | 99.9¢ | $42 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 20,190 | 0.7¢ | $30 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 13,731 | 0.6¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| fcd8472a40x61c4…b8dc | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xd6e5…b6b0 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x234c…649e | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,819 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 12,478 | 0.1¢ | $19 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Ali1231230x7b17…5246 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.9¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 10,077 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| JumperChip0x193a…35c0 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.3¢ | $15 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 9,999 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9,506 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0xe5e8…1ef5 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| hfs30x429d…7ea4 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xa582…54eb | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 9,000 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0xa35f…0038 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 8,077 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0c79800xaf3e…5b87 | No | 12 | 99.5¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xad3a…ff2e | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| hyyan0xd445…b4d3 | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x26cf…1c38 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xc028…52d3 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| WendellHabakkuk0xf176…5d41 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| iranda0xa9b7…91c4 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x422e…8450 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| uyt7jtuyjnytujmny0x9b0f…02c9 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Huaa1140xead6…0200 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5e3b…cec8 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x4963…a087 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9c82…6d20 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5282…3ff9 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xdf3f…3ce2 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x45aa…660e | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 03516510x1f79…20fe | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| rete0xdf56…e37b | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| duitduit990x2d65…6da6 | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| charias0xf6ac…1a4f | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 6,578 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 6,130 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| ef7b80x05c4…15dd | No | 9 | 99.4¢ | $9 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| 77ghjhjk0x19df…4404 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| JisanChoudary0xdeb0…32dd | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 5,275 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| ghugy0xe7b8…dbd0 | No | 8 | 99.2¢ | $8 | — |
| d79d0x5260…9b88 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| inke0x1051…0b63 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 4,532 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| 0x1e07…49d6 | Yes | 4,443 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,390 | 0.9¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| madd1s0n0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | 3,573 | 0.8¢ | $5 | New68 settled bets |
| nononononono0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | 3,500 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| raileth0xc67b…22d5 | Yes | 2,857 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,840 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| 2ECXV80xd71e…8c74 | Yes | 2,806 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| LudoAlex0x2f24…2754 | Yes | 2,300 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.