Market · 9 of 53 outcomes
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patz30x0292…4211 | Yes | 641,243 | 1.3¢ | $15.7K | — |
| 0xc00d…6cd3 | Yes | 583,614 | 2.0¢ | $14.3K | New13 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 299,425 | 1.7¢ | $7.34K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 132,711 | 2.9¢ | $3.25K | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 742 bets |
| claudelover0x1d9a…9a46 | Yes | 129,892 | 2.2¢ | $3.18K | — |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | Yes | 121,956 | 2.0¢ | $2.99K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 116,995 | 0.7¢ | $2.87K | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 16,208 bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 98,923 | 1.4¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 98,466 | 1.9¢ | $2.41K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| TheDao0x26f8…a969 | Yes | 97,408 | 1.8¢ | $2.39K | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 60,834 | 2.4¢ | $1.49K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0xec8f…94d5 | Yes | 50,000 | 1.4¢ | $1.23K | — |
| RBax0x4366…c73e | Yes | 50,000 | 1.4¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$11.27 per $100 · 547 bets |
| MaxShorter0x3c7b…5485 | Yes | 38,000 | 1.2¢ | $931 | Positive+$3.40 per $100 · 151 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 34,837 | 0.8¢ | $853 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| Fun880xddf7…4519 | Yes | 32,226 | 2.9¢ | $790 | — |
| herewe0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | 25,495 | 2.1¢ | $625 | Positive+$2.13 per $100 · 179 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 25,000 | 2.0¢ | $612 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| FakeMichaelBurry0x454e…636d | Yes | 21,604 | 2.4¢ | $529 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $471 | New41 settled bets |
| Goat85240xf861…681f | Yes | 18,298 | 2.7¢ | $448 | — |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | 17,200 | 2.1¢ | $421 | Positive+$6.29 per $100 · 4,457 bets |
| TimRob0xb7ef…812c | Yes | 16,817 | 2.4¢ | $412 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 569 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $411 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $368 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 15,000 | 2.3¢ | $368 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| VdeVirtud0x05dd…e2af | Yes | 15,000 | 2.2¢ | $367 | — |
| buyloselhi0xa20e…85b8 | Yes | 13,532 | 2.5¢ | $332 | — |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 13,165 | 2.5¢ | $323 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 339 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,612 | 0.8¢ | $309 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $306 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,266 | 0.6¢ | $276 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| schlomosgoy0x6e2d…6130 | Yes | 10,807 | 2.8¢ | $265 | New39 settled bets |
| wqrethjyk8765ry5etfgfghj0x962e…fdff | No | 266 | 97.8¢ | $260 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 10,423 | 0.6¢ | $255 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $245 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $245 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 9,219 | 1.8¢ | $226 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 2more0xea9a…64b1 | Yes | 8,334 | 2.4¢ | $204 | — |
| TR80x8210…5a2c | Yes | 8,333 | 2.4¢ | $204 | — |
| gq3g31egv1eq0x94ee…4a94 | Yes | 8,091 | 1.1¢ | $198 | Proven+$27.30 per $100 · 355 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $162 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| Lunarkay0xd4da…05d8 | Yes | 6,018 | 2.1¢ | $147 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,878 | 0.0¢ | $144 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| 0x22d5…21b1 | Yes | 5,828 | 2.2¢ | $143 | — |
| omnibus-4247790x4247…91c4 | Yes | 5,357 | 2.2¢ | $131 | Losing−$12.51 per $100 · 6,017 bets |
| 0x4129…93ee | No | 133 | 97.9¢ | $130 | — |
| 0xb57c…d24c | No | 133 | 97.9¢ | $130 | — |
| 0xa2ed…eb8e | No | 133 | 97.9¢ | $129 | — |
| ThoughGate0x7ba7…b461 | Yes | 5,006 | 2.2¢ | $123 | — |
| kalchopra10x3636…1a57 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $122 | — |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.3¢ | $122 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $122 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x62b5…21fe | Yes | 4,910 | 2.4¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x0d29…0785 | No | 117 | 97.7¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x25a8…c7d0 | No | 109 | 97.9¢ | $106 | — |
| wgnr0xdfb1…981b | No | 105 | 97.8¢ | $102 | — |
| 0x23d2…5f41 | No | 104 | 97.8¢ | $101 | — |
| Sean19098362230xb7cc…25ad | No | 102 | 98.0¢ | $100 | — |
| michellehamilton0x97af…6f37 | No | 94 | 97.7¢ | $92 | — |
| 0x1154…820d | No | 87 | 97.9¢ | $85 | — |
| stephenpeters0xe04e…e370 | No | 85 | 97.7¢ | $83 | — |
| rrtfds0xb228…ea0b | No | 82 | 98.1¢ | $80 | — |
| fernandoimpe0xe363…dff2 | No | 81 | 97.8¢ | $79 | — |
| lxhp0x6265…f0fd | No | 78 | 97.8¢ | $76 | — |
| zettanatussp0xc7cb…7ec7 | No | 74 | 97.8¢ | $72 | — |
| burleyettfxw0x0ee0…2545 | No | 73 | 97.8¢ | $71 | — |
| lxpc40x928f…de3d | No | 69 | 97.8¢ | $67 | — |
| 0xdcdf…09b9 | No | 69 | 97.9¢ | $67 | — |
| henders0x73ae…9518 | No | 65 | 97.8¢ | $63 | — |
| casimirtemp0x7cc7…f537 | No | 63 | 97.8¢ | $61 | — |
| yuyuokok0xa42a…23e5 | No | 61 | 98.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Jumbaysimba0xaef2…6e2f | No | 60 | 98.6¢ | $59 | — |
| markisalambert0x21c3…5654 | No | 57 | 98.0¢ | $56 | — |
| 4EDac70x2352…4f1f | No | 55 | 97.4¢ | $54 | — |
| qiuhu0x3042…48ce | No | 54 | 98.1¢ | $53 | — |
| zhongyang0xa57c…e0c4 | No | 51 | 98.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Kuziyuk0xde25…3e5e | No | 50 | 97.9¢ | $49 | — |
| Sunat0x4d30…4456 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $49 | — |
| Pendeho120x905e…32c8 | No | 50 | 97.9¢ | $49 | — |
| mascarpone365020xe168…0f95 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $49 | — |
| vinuato0x306a…a733 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $49 | — |
| rayrempelwvi0xdbd4…78f8 | No | 45 | 97.8¢ | $44 | — |
| stephanquig0xa965…5032 | No | 38 | 97.8¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xfbb1…f3ac | No | 37 | 97.8¢ | $36 | — |
14 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.19K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.