Market · 8 of 43 outcomes
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor480x0441…194c | Yes | 597,725 | 1.1¢ | $6.28K | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | No | 5,501 | 99.0¢ | $5.44K | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 449,084 | 1.1¢ | $4.72K | New15 settled bets |
| cameraMNA0xe580…85cd | No | 3,579 | 99.2¢ | $3.54K | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $3.19K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| NervousHippo0x1125…71f1 | Yes | 171,203 | 0.9¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Xavier19870x2ac6…f108 | Yes | 124,319 | 0.9¢ | $1.31K | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 114,680 | 1.0¢ | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| TruthIsF17760xf20b…5ddd | Yes | 93,313 | 1.3¢ | $980 | — |
| Ivan0190x79d8…94dd | Yes | 86,237 | 1.6¢ | $905 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 65,613 | 0.9¢ | $689 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Pawel.K0xae38…6247 | Yes | 48,596 | 1.5¢ | $510 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 48,464 | 1.0¢ | $509 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Timmiyo0xbfac…6b1d | No | 495 | 99.0¢ | $490 | — |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1 | Yes | 45,000 | 1.1¢ | $473 | — |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 44,410 | 0.7¢ | $466 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| 0xeebd…7571 | Yes | 44,355 | 1.1¢ | $466 | — |
| 0xacc0…33da | Yes | 41,351 | 1.0¢ | $434 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 37,953 | 0.4¢ | $399 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 346 | 99.2¢ | $343 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 29,691 | 1.0¢ | $312 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| 0xfb24…7663 | No | 291 | 98.9¢ | $288 | — |
| 0x5f45…cabc | Yes | 27,273 | 1.1¢ | $286 | — |
| 0x93dc…51fb | No | 288 | 98.9¢ | $285 | — |
| Barryone0x3fe1…4ff8 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.2¢ | $263 | — |
| lucky-man0xc282…c643 | No | 212 | 99.1¢ | $210 | — |
| GorgeTel0x4484…3abf | No | 202 | 99.2¢ | $199 | — |
| Megan9990x9111…25e4 | No | 201 | 99.4¢ | $199 | — |
| Claire49990xde82…47a4 | No | 201 | 99.4¢ | $199 | — |
| kokelin0x2334…cd00 | No | 200 | 99.1¢ | $198 | — |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 17,623 | 0.8¢ | $185 | New6 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 15,701 | 0.8¢ | $165 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,243 bets |
| 0x4372…6a96 | Yes | 14,808 | 1.2¢ | $155 | — |
| 0x8958…3827 | No | 126 | 99.1¢ | $124 | — |
| 0x9c28…205e | No | 118 | 99.1¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x730e…c27a | No | 115 | 99.1¢ | $114 | — |
| 0xd9c4…c9b0 | Yes | 10,005 | 1.2¢ | $105 | — |
| korona0x9f9f…c317 | No | 101 | 99.0¢ | $100 | — |
| trnomad0xfe6d…0446 | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x274c…dc44 | No | 99 | 98.9¢ | $98 | — |
| 6665975646540x4d76…5f68 | No | 96 | 99.3¢ | $95 | — |
| 8676545465650xd75b…3a9b | No | 95 | 99.3¢ | $94 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $93 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0xf37d…97ea | Yes | 8,495 | 1.3¢ | $89 | — |
| northgate0xe90d…5647 | No | 90 | 99.5¢ | $89 | — |
| JMalloc0x0359…a079 | Yes | 8,333 | 1.2¢ | $87 | — |
| 3089986546546510x1a2d…dbd0 | No | 88 | 99.3¢ | $87 | — |
| 11156465415410x5be6…59fe | No | 84 | 99.3¢ | $83 | — |
| 0x239a…e570 | No | 82 | 99.0¢ | $81 | — |
| xerox221x0x64f2…eece | No | 75 | 99.4¢ | $75 | — |
| glop60x991d…f337 | No | 75 | 99.6¢ | $75 | — |
| 0x19c8…67b4 | No | 74 | 99.2¢ | $73 | — |
| Centium0x901c…9a3f | Yes | 6,962 | 1.2¢ | $73 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 6,902 | 0.2¢ | $72 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| swansonmichael0x547c…0c9e | No | 67 | 99.2¢ | $66 | — |
| 0x9982…0e48 | No | 66 | 99.0¢ | $66 | — |
| laobill0x9906…2bf8 | No | 66 | 99.0¢ | $65 | — |
| wallce20240xfae7…2b89 | No | 66 | 99.2¢ | $65 | — |
| imuelevo0x2ed4…c624 | No | 58 | 98.9¢ | $57 | — |
| Adill0x5d99…0fc2 | No | 56 | 97.6¢ | $56 | — |
| Applesider0x042d…bcc1 | Yes | 5,300 | 1.2¢ | $56 | — |
| yujiahao0x85a8…5468 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| taihaole0x99bb…82ed | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | Yes | 5,221 | 1.1¢ | $55 | Losing−$3.21 per $100 · 2,275 bets |
| 0xd1c5…a677 | No | 55 | 98.9¢ | $55 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| koppp0x74bb…d1a9 | No | 53 | 99.2¢ | $53 | — |
| marksoc0x89fc…b5c2 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.2¢ | $53 | Positive+$11.11 per $100 · 359 bets |
| AusBettor0x9c1e…0cd2 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $53 | — |
| fpooxx4fpooxx40x81bd…cf80 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $50 | — |
| kotletadeneg0x3512…5ca1 | No | 50 | 99.2¢ | $49 | — |
| Behruzishe0x28b2…028b | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $49 | — |
| EHildingr624240x28b3…bfdb | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $49 | — |
| denispovis0xbeb9…8363 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $49 | — |
| uchnisan0xee40…d148 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $49 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 4,700 | 0.8¢ | $49 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,250 | 0.8¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| 0x5f14…8b16 | Yes | 4,150 | 1.0¢ | $44 | — |
| ggvtg0x3110…3655 | No | 44 | 99.2¢ | $43 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 3,986 | 1.0¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| bn4780x8ff3…4880 | No | 40 | 99.2¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xSudarshan30acharya0x26c1…1ad4 | No | 40 | 99.2¢ | $40 | — |
| yutimj0x6be2…8cc4 | No | 40 | 99.2¢ | $40 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 3,704 | 1.2¢ | $39 | — |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 3,500 | 1.2¢ | $37 | — |
| francepa0x25eb…dc9d | No | 36 | 98.7¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xf54a…2187 | No | 36 | 98.8¢ | $35 | — |
| qzui80xd2ff…539a | No | 33 | 99.1¢ | $33 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 3,081 | 1.2¢ | $32 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 2,743 | 0.6¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.9¢ | $21 | Positive+$3.50 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| modsoft0xca0e…64f7 | Yes | 1,829 | 1.1¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x08d9…d48e | Yes | 1,818 | 1.1¢ | $19 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 1,752 | 1.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $16 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| matejbets0x8811…5cf4 | Yes | 1,500 | 1.0¢ | $16 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 1,270 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| chaggai0xa9e1…1778 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $13 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 55 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.