Market · 26 of 54 outcomes
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-Train0x8ec8…5709 | Yes | 1,780,576 | 1.3¢ | $6.23K | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 150,505 | 0.5¢ | $527 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 72,963 | 0.8¢ | $255 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Jeremynibc0xba7b…1b96 | No | 211 | 99.7¢ | $210 | — |
| Mayav0xc05f…a718 | No | 211 | 99.7¢ | $210 | — |
| jacquelinethompson0x296e…a419 | No | 209 | 99.7¢ | $208 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 100 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 58,263 | 0.5¢ | $204 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| Hannahnn0x4b4c…33f3 | No | 201 | 99.7¢ | $200 | New29 settled bets |
| Michelle23320x03d2…84c6 | No | 200 | 50.0¢ | $199 | New33 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 52,762 | 0.4¢ | $185 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| trader490x14b9…f378 | Yes | 43,912 | 1.2¢ | $154 | Losing−$6.28 per $100 · 3,746 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 39,310 | 0.8¢ | $138 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| Harris00n0x148c…d82b | No | 121 | 99.3¢ | $120 | New56 settled bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 34,159 | 1.1¢ | $120 | — |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 33,108 | 0.7¢ | $116 | New77 settled bets |
| gatooo23450x6f11…7764 | No | 115 | 96.0¢ | $114 | New77 settled bets |
| stephensamy0x41a4…633f | No | 108 | 99.7¢ | $108 | New43 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $105 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| Iking0x2de8…1707 | No | 100 | 99.7¢ | $100 | New54 settled bets |
| 0x5809…154e | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $100 | New2 settled bets |
| JORDAN232323230xe686…13cb | Yes | 28,188 | 0.9¢ | $99 | — |
| ernest440x8081…e5f3 | No | 99 | 99.7¢ | $99 | New43 settled bets |
| charlene090xfda9…247c | No | 97 | 99.7¢ | $97 | — |
| derrick420x0be7…7e58 | No | 95 | 99.7¢ | $95 | New81 settled bets |
| ibernard0xd45d…4671 | No | 91 | 99.7¢ | $91 | — |
| GiorgiaCorradini0x42cb…e21f | No | 87 | 98.8¢ | $87 | New27 settled bets |
| rodneyroberts0x08f4…e0d1 | No | 84 | 99.7¢ | $84 | New91 settled bets |
| janicescott0xc2d2…b893 | No | 84 | 99.7¢ | $84 | — |
| fbarry0x3dd9…c4a6 | No | 79 | 99.7¢ | $79 | New44 settled bets |
| christinapalmer0x4dc7…ba13 | No | 78 | 99.7¢ | $78 | New54 settled bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $73 | New41 settled bets |
| hendricksscott0x86fd…f2a1 | No | 73 | 99.7¢ | $73 | — |
| bujaknk230x4467…b5bc | No | 67 | 97.7¢ | $66 | New75 settled bets |
| brayemily0x1370…fde6 | No | 62 | 99.7¢ | $62 | New77 settled bets |
| gibbspamela0x5ed4…49ca | No | 62 | 99.7¢ | $62 | New80 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 17,485 | 0.9¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 58 | 97.7¢ | $58 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 15,094 | 0.7¢ | $53 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| littlegui0xf7fe…8101 | No | 52 | 99.1¢ | $52 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $51 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,434 | 0.7¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $47 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| Green0x220a…923b | No | 46 | 95.9¢ | $46 | Proven+$14.05 per $100 · 101 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,943 | 0.4¢ | $42 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| SaraAscari0xe9f6…4fa0 | No | 40 | 98.7¢ | $40 | — |
| 244633450x8cad…39e3 | No | 39 | 99.7¢ | $39 | — |
| gfkgh0x51cd…bfdc | No | 36 | 99.7¢ | $36 | New9 settled bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 9,880 | 0.8¢ | $35 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 9,679 | 0.8¢ | $34 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| BiancaBergamini0x429a…507a | No | 32 | 98.8¢ | $32 | New24 settled bets |
| RebeccaLugli0x5659…67a1 | No | 30 | 98.6¢ | $30 | New24 settled bets |
| VittoriaBellei0x8f31…9715 | No | 30 | 98.6¢ | $30 | — |
| ERTGRET340xa4e9…b1f8 | No | 28 | 98.7¢ | $28 | — |
| GuuLG0xdf91…f13d | No | 28 | 99.4¢ | $28 | — |
| d6500x5dd9…4f87 | No | 27 | 99.1¢ | $27 | New82 settled bets |
| TobbenB30x6406…1e0b | Yes | 7,143 | 1.4¢ | $25 | New5 settled bets |
| Fishsalad0x40c9…664d | Yes | 7,000 | 0.8¢ | $25 | New64 settled bets |
| AdeleMorselli0x9213…0db7 | No | 24 | 98.8¢ | $24 | — |
| 345DF0x2e05…1106 | No | 23 | 98.7¢ | $23 | New23 settled bets |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | Yes | 6,513 | 1.1¢ | $23 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 5,121 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 6,328 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $21 | New65 settled bets |
| everydayregularnormalguy0xc0e7…2ce4 | Yes | 6,000 | 1.0¢ | $21 | — |
| wdfterw0x1622…19af | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | New21 settled bets |
| 8f5df70x70a6…a74d | No | 21 | 99.1¢ | $21 | New78 settled bets |
| RebeccaCuoghi0xa626…7a39 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x561c…a285 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | New21 settled bets |
| gautynrt0x01d7…9de5 | No | 19 | 99.6¢ | $19 | New24 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| liquity0x4570…4325 | Yes | 5,000 | 4.2¢ | $18 | New13 settled bets |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $18 | New13 settled bets |
| MartinaVecchi0xe046…17ef | No | 16 | 98.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xdd02…d15b | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | — |
| AnimalFungus0x4683…84c2 | Yes | 4,444 | 0.9¢ | $16 | New33 settled bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 4,444 | 0.6¢ | $16 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 4,415 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| Koolio0xf330…f779 | Yes | 4,374 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 150 bets |
| RyanZhang0x87f6…dff2 | No | 15 | 99.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Daniel88840xc41a…bcc8 | No | 15 | 99.7¢ | $15 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 4,043 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 4,000 | 0.9¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 3,750 | 0.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,696 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.5¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 3,320 | 2.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,021 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 3,135 | 0.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 3,036 | 1.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Pokdmon0x6aed…d4fa | Yes | 3,000 | 1.1¢ | $11 | New10 settled bets |
| R0ont0x7744…d8d6 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$15.49 per $100 · 300 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 2,999 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 2,987 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,703 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 322 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.