Market · 58 of 71 outcomes
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 186 | 81.6¢ | $162 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 140 | 85.5¢ | $123 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 84 | 88.4¢ | $73 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 120 | 28.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 80 | 18.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 57 | 14.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 47 | 28.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Mafercca0x3b65…6611 | No | 6 | 86.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 40 | 15.0¢ | $5 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 40 | 13.5¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 27.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Bg1211Aesti0xc934…9887 | No | 1 | 81.6¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 3 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play